Logistics Development Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| LDG Stock | 15.15 0.10 0.66% |
Logistics Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Logistics Development stock prices and determine the direction of Logistics Development Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Logistics Development's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Logistics Development's share price is above 70 at the present time. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Logistics, making its price go up or down. Momentum 74
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) |
Using Logistics Development hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Logistics Development Group from the perspective of Logistics Development response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Logistics Development Group on the next trading day is expected to be 14.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.96. Logistics Development after-hype prediction price | GBX 15.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Logistics |
Logistics Development Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Logistics price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Logistics using various technical indicators. When you analyze Logistics charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Logistics Development Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Logistics Development Group on the next trading day is expected to be 14.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Logistics Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Logistics Development's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Logistics Development Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Logistics Development | Logistics Development Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Logistics Development Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Logistics Development's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Logistics Development's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.20 and 16.55, respectively. We have considered Logistics Development's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Logistics Development stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Logistics Development stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.4769 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4188 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0289 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 25.9635 |
Predictive Modules for Logistics Development
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Logistics Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Logistics Development After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Logistics Development at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Logistics Development or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Logistics Development, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Logistics Development Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Logistics Development's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Logistics Development's historical news coverage. Logistics Development's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.51 and 16.83, respectively. We have considered Logistics Development's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Logistics Development is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Logistics Development is based on 3 months time horizon.
Logistics Development Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Logistics Development is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Logistics Development backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Logistics Development, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.68 | 0.02 | 84.07 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.15 | 15.17 | 0.13 |
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Logistics Development Hype Timeline
Logistics Development is now traded for 15.15on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -84.07. Logistics is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Logistics Development is about 0.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -68.92. The company reported the revenue of 1.28 M. Net Income was 17.37 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Logistics Development to cross-verify your projections.Logistics Development Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Logistics Development's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Logistics Development's future price movements. Getting to know how Logistics Development's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Logistics Development may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TYT | Toyota Motor Corp | 0.00 | 8 per month | 1.28 | 0.12 | 3.26 | (2.29) | 10.55 | |
| 0R15 | SoftBank Group Corp | (6,300) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.41 | (9.95) | 109.63 | |
| 0J8P | IDEXX Laboratories | (5.77) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.33 | (2.47) | 12.49 | |
| 0I6K | DR Horton | (1.95) | 7 per month | 1.75 | 0.1 | 4.37 | (3.15) | 11.43 | |
| 0HBH | Air Products Chemicals | (1.62) | 8 per month | 2.45 | 0.05 | 3.01 | (2.79) | 11.87 | |
| 0P4F | Ford Motor | 0.35 | 8 per month | 1.10 | 0.05 | 2.96 | (2.22) | 8.33 | |
| 0IC9 | Dominion Energy | (0.27) | 9 per month | 1.47 | 0.06 | 2.54 | (2.32) | 9.40 | |
| 0HW4 | Charter Communications Cl | 3.65 | 4 per month | 1.43 | 0.11 | 4.19 | (2.89) | 11.05 | |
| DGED | Diageo plc | 0.24 | 7 per month | 1.57 | (0.02) | 2.95 | (2.67) | 7.15 |
Other Forecasting Options for Logistics Development
For every potential investor in Logistics, whether a beginner or expert, Logistics Development's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Logistics Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Logistics. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Logistics Development's price trends.Logistics Development Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Logistics Development stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Logistics Development could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Logistics Development by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Logistics Development Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Logistics Development stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Logistics Development shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Logistics Development stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Logistics Development Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Logistics Development Risk Indicators
The analysis of Logistics Development's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Logistics Development's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting logistics stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.919 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Variance | 2.73 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Logistics Development
The number of cover stories for Logistics Development depends on current market conditions and Logistics Development's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Logistics Development is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Logistics Development's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Logistics Development Short Properties
Logistics Development's future price predictability will typically decrease when Logistics Development's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Logistics Development Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Logistics Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Logistics Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 526.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.6 M | |
| Shares Float | 170.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in Logistics Stock
Logistics Development financial ratios help investors to determine whether Logistics Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Logistics with respect to the benefits of owning Logistics Development security.