Hp Inc Stock Price Prediction
| HPQ Stock | USD 19.83 0.30 1.54% |
Momentum 32
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.1029 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.2103 | Wall Street Target Price 25.0063 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.923 |
Using HP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HP Inc from the perspective of HP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards HP using HP's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards HP using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of HP's stock price.
HP Short Interest
An investor who is long HP may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about HP and may potentially protect profits, hedge HP with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 25.5751 | Short Percent 0.1015 | Short Ratio 5.53 | Shares Short Prior Month 70.1 M | 50 Day MA 23.5224 |
HP Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to HP's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in HP. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding HP can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around HP Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of HP's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about HP.
HP Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
HP's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of HP Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if HP's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that HP stock will not fluctuate a lot when HP's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HP to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HP because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
HP after-hype prediction price | USD 19.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current HP contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that HP Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With HP trading at USD 19.83, that is roughly USD 0.005329 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating HP's daily price movement you should consider acquiring HP Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out HP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. HP After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HP's historical news coverage. HP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.65 and 21.87, respectively. We have considered HP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HP Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
HP Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 2.11 | 0.07 | 0.37 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.83 | 19.76 | 0.35 |
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HP Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January HP Inc is traded for 19.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.37. HP is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.35%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.52%. The volatility of related hype on HP is about 293.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.20. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.33. HP Inc last dividend was issued on the 11th of December 2025. The entity had 2202:1000 split on the 2nd of November 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out HP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.HP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HP's future price movements. Getting to know how HP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRT | Marti Technologies | (0.01) | 8 per month | 2.43 | (0.03) | 7.59 | (4.02) | 20.77 | |
| TIMB | TIM Participacoes SA | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.90 | 0.03 | 3.06 | (2.72) | 8.26 | |
| CCCC | C4 Therapeutics | 0.36 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.16 | (7.32) | 24.93 | |
| HOLO | MicroCloud Hologram | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.57 | (8.22) | 15.30 | |
| IMMR | Immersion | 0.13 | 12 per month | 2.19 | (0.03) | 4.57 | (3.90) | 22.47 | |
| ABSOF | ABS CBN Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.00 | |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Finance | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.79 | 0.12 | 2.53 | (1.59) | 11.64 | |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Holdings | (0.05) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.12 | (2.93) | 10.93 | |
| LSIIX | Loomis Sayles Investment | 6.10 | 5 per month | 0.16 | (0.59) | 0.20 | (0.30) | 0.61 |
HP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HP using various technical indicators. When you analyze HP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About HP Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of HP stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HP Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HP based on analysis of HP hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HP's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HP's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0309 | 0.0416 | 0.0238 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.65 | 0.47 | 0.36 |
Pair Trading with HP
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if HP position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in HP will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against HP Stock
| 0.86 | MRK | Merck Company | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | KGC | Kinross Gold Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | XOM | Exxon Mobil Corp Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | JNJ | Johnson Johnson | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | AA | Alcoa Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | AEM | Agnico Eagle Mines | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to HP could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace HP when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back HP - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling HP Inc to buy it.
The correlation of HP is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as HP moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if HP Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for HP can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for HP Stock Analysis
When running HP's price analysis, check to measure HP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HP is operating at the current time. Most of HP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.