Leland Thomson Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

LDVAX Fund  USD 26.69  0.10  0.38%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Leland Thomson Reuters on the next trading day is expected to be 27.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.65. Leland Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Leland Thomson's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Leland Thomson's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Leland Thomson Reuters, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Leland Thomson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Leland Thomson Reuters from the perspective of Leland Thomson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Leland Thomson Reuters on the next trading day is expected to be 27.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.65.

Leland Thomson after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Leland Thomson to cross-verify your projections.

Leland Thomson Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Leland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Leland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Leland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Leland Thomson price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Leland Thomson Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Leland Thomson Reuters on the next trading day is expected to be 27.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Leland Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Leland Thomson's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Leland Thomson Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Leland ThomsonLeland Thomson Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Leland Thomson Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Leland Thomson's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Leland Thomson's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.83 and 28.42, respectively. We have considered Leland Thomson's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.69
27.12
Expected Value
28.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Leland Thomson mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Leland Thomson mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.652
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6501
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0229
SAESum of the absolute errors39.6543
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Leland Thomson Reuters historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Leland Thomson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leland Thomson Reuters. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.4026.6927.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.9527.2428.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.4728.1629.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Leland Thomson. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Leland Thomson's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Leland Thomson's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Leland Thomson Reuters.

Leland Thomson After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Leland Thomson at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Leland Thomson or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Leland Thomson, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Leland Thomson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Leland Thomson's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Leland Thomson's historical news coverage. Leland Thomson's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.40 and 27.98, respectively. We have considered Leland Thomson's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
26.69
26.69
After-hype Price
27.98
Upside
Leland Thomson is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Leland Thomson Reuters is based on 3 months time horizon.

Leland Thomson Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Leland Thomson is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Leland Thomson backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Leland Thomson, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
1.29
 0.00  
  3.66 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.69
26.69
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Leland Thomson Hype Timeline

Leland Thomson Reuters is now traded for 26.69. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -3.66. Leland is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Leland Thomson is about 9.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.03. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Leland Thomson to cross-verify your projections.

Leland Thomson Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Leland Thomson's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Leland Thomson's future price movements. Getting to know how Leland Thomson's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Leland Thomson may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Leland Thomson

For every potential investor in Leland, whether a beginner or expert, Leland Thomson's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Leland Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Leland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Leland Thomson's price trends.

Leland Thomson Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Leland Thomson mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Leland Thomson could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Leland Thomson by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Leland Thomson Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Leland Thomson mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Leland Thomson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Leland Thomson mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Leland Thomson Reuters entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Leland Thomson Risk Indicators

The analysis of Leland Thomson's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Leland Thomson's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting leland mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Leland Thomson

The number of cover stories for Leland Thomson depends on current market conditions and Leland Thomson's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Leland Thomson is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Leland Thomson's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Leland Mutual Fund

Leland Thomson financial ratios help investors to determine whether Leland Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Leland with respect to the benefits of owning Leland Thomson security.
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