Themes Cash Etf Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

LGCF Etf   35.31  0.77  2.23%   
Themes Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Themes Cash's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of February 2026 the relative strength momentum indicator of Themes Cash's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Themes Cash's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Themes Cash and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Themes Cash's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Themes Cash Flow, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Themes Cash hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Themes Cash Flow from the perspective of Themes Cash response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Themes Cash Flow on the next trading day is expected to be 35.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.40.

Themes Cash after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Themes Cash to cross-verify your projections.

Themes Cash Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Themes price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Themes using various technical indicators. When you analyze Themes charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Themes Cash works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Themes Cash Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Themes Cash Flow on the next trading day is expected to be 35.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Themes Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Themes Cash's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Themes Cash Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Themes Cash  Themes Cash Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Themes Cash Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Themes Cash's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Themes Cash's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.67 and 36.15, respectively. We have considered Themes Cash's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
35.31
35.41
Expected Value
36.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Themes Cash etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Themes Cash etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0678
MADMean absolute deviation0.2102
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0062
SAESum of the absolute errors12.4
When Themes Cash Flow prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Themes Cash Flow trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Themes Cash observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Themes Cash

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Themes Cash Flow. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Themes Cash's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.5835.3236.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.7836.1336.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.3134.2135.11
Details

Themes Cash After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Themes Cash at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Themes Cash or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Themes Cash, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Themes Cash Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Themes Cash's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Themes Cash's historical news coverage. Themes Cash's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.58 and 36.06, respectively. We have considered Themes Cash's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.31
35.32
After-hype Price
36.06
Upside
Themes Cash is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Themes Cash Flow is based on 3 months time horizon.

Themes Cash Etf Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Themes Cash is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Themes Cash backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Themes Cash, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
0.74
  0.01 
  0.36 
1 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.31
35.32
0.03 
569.23  
Notes

Themes Cash Hype Timeline

Themes Cash Flow is now traded for 35.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.36. Themes is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 35.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Themes Cash is about 22.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.67. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Themes Cash to cross-verify your projections.

Themes Cash Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Themes Cash's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Themes Cash's future price movements. Getting to know how Themes Cash's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Themes Cash may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
XXCHDirexion 0.33 1 per month 1.34  0.13  3.74 (2.58) 10.46 
WDNAWisdomTree BioRevolution 0.30 1 per month 1.22  0.07  2.92 (2.08) 7.21 
XTRGlobal X SP(0.11)4 per month 0.74 (0.10) 1.03 (1.25) 3.33 
PEVCPacer Funds Trust(0.03)2 per month 1.14 (0.05) 1.55 (1.88) 5.22 
JETDBank of Montreal 29.37 11 per month 0.00 (0.27) 4.85 (6.75) 15.75 
ZSCUSCF ETF Trust 0.55 2 per month 1.03 (0.01) 1.65 (1.89) 7.23 
BWETETF Managers Group 2.16 2 per month 3.26  0.25  11.72 (5.17) 25.36 
DESKVanEck ETF Trust 0.02 2 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.01 (1.53) 4.51 
MKTNFederated Hermes ETF(0.05)1 per month 0.38 (0.12) 0.91 (0.79) 2.02 
EGLEGlobal X Funds 0.17 2 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.01 (1.37) 3.08 

Other Forecasting Options for Themes Cash

For every potential investor in Themes, whether a beginner or expert, Themes Cash's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Themes Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Themes. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Themes Cash's price trends.

Themes Cash Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Themes Cash etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Themes Cash could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Themes Cash by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Themes Cash Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Themes Cash etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Themes Cash shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Themes Cash etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Themes Cash Flow entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Themes Cash Risk Indicators

The analysis of Themes Cash's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Themes Cash's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting themes etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Themes Cash

The number of cover stories for Themes Cash depends on current market conditions and Themes Cash's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Themes Cash is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Themes Cash's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Themes Etf

Themes Cash financial ratios help investors to determine whether Themes Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Themes with respect to the benefits of owning Themes Cash security.