LGI Homes Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| LGIH Stock | USD 53.86 3.66 7.29% |
LGI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of LGI Homes' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of LGI Homes' stock price is under 60. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 4th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling LGI, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.238 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.2867 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.43 | Wall Street Target Price 67.5 |
Using LGI Homes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LGI Homes from the perspective of LGI Homes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LGI Homes using LGI Homes' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards LGI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LGI Homes' stock price.
LGI Homes Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in LGI Homes' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards LGI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of LGI Homes stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 52.5883 | Short Percent 0.1606 | Short Ratio 6.13 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.8 M | 50 Day MA 48.541 |
LGI Relative Strength Index
LGI Homes Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to LGI Homes' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in LGI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding LGI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LGI Homes. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LGI Homes' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LGI Homes.
LGI Homes Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
LGI Homes' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LGI Homes stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LGI Homes' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LGI Homes stock will not fluctuate a lot when LGI Homes' options are near their expiration.
LGI Homes after-hype prediction price | USD 55.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LGI Homes to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current LGI contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that LGI Homes will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With LGI Homes trading at USD 53.86, that is roughly USD 0.0222 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating LGI Homes' daily price movement you should consider acquiring LGI Homes options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 LGI Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast LGI Homes' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in LGI Homes' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for LGI Homes stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current LGI Homes' open interest, investors have to compare it to LGI Homes' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of LGI Homes is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in LGI. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
LGI Homes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LGI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LGI using various technical indicators. When you analyze LGI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 40929.71 | 0.068 |
| Check LGI Homes Volatility | Backtest LGI Homes | Information Ratio |
LGI Homes Trading Date Momentum
| On February 04 2026 LGI Homes was traded for 53.86 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 53.86 and the lowest listed price was 50.20 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 4, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 6.80% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare LGI Homes to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for LGI Homes
For every potential investor in LGI, whether a beginner or expert, LGI Homes' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LGI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LGI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LGI Homes' price trends.LGI Homes Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LGI Homes stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LGI Homes could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LGI Homes by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
LGI Homes Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LGI Homes stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LGI Homes shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LGI Homes stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LGI Homes entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
LGI Homes Risk Indicators
The analysis of LGI Homes' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LGI Homes' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lgi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.85 | |||
| Variance | 14.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for LGI Homes
The number of cover stories for LGI Homes depends on current market conditions and LGI Homes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LGI Homes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LGI Homes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LGI Homes Short Properties
LGI Homes' future price predictability will typically decrease when LGI Homes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LGI Homes often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LGI Homes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LGI Homes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 53.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LGI Homes to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in LGI Stock please use our How to Invest in LGI Homes guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is there potential for Household Durables market expansion? Will LGI introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LGI Homes. Expected growth trajectory for LGI significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about LGI Homes listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | Earnings Share 4.52 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.39) | Return On Assets |
LGI Homes's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on LGI's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate LGI Homes' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since LGI Homes' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that LGI Homes' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LGI Homes represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, LGI Homes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.