Locorr Hedged Mutual Fund Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| LHEIX Fund | 10.12 0.03 0.30% |
20 Period Moving Average is applied to Locorr Hedged Core's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. These values update automatically with each new closing price. AIC measures relative model quality — lower AIC values indicate a better-fitting model. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects Locorr Hedged at 10.11 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This 20 Period Moving Average output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026
Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts Locorr Hedged at 10.11 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 2.59 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Locorr Hedged's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Locorr Hedged | Locorr Hedged Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for Locorr Hedged defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The projected band runs from roughly 9.87 on the downside to about 10.34 on the upside. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Locorr Hedged mutual fund. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 76.112 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0626 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0633 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0063 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.5945 |
Other Forecasting Options for Locorr Hedged
The distribution of Locorr Hedged's daily returns is typically non-normal, with fatter tails than a Gaussian model predicts. This reveals hidden support and resistance zones in Locorr Hedged's chart that simple price charts miss. The slope of Locorr Hedged's linear regression channel quantifies trend direction and strength over a chosen lookback period. Divergences between OBV and price foreshadow trend changes in Locorr Hedged.Locorr Hedged Comparable Funds
These peer funds help position Locorr Hedged within a broader category rather than against operating businesses. This peer set gives investors a way to compare Locorr Hedged's structure and outcomes against similar portfolio vehicles.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Locorr Hedged Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Locorr Hedged mutual fund provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in Locorr Hedged. Median and Typical Price smooth out intraday extremes, providing a cleaner reference level for evaluating Locorr Hedged sessions. Persistent divergence between momentum indicators and price often precedes trend reversals in Locorr Hedged.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.12 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.12 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.03 |
Locorr Hedged Risk Indicators
Assessing Locorr Hedged's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for locorr hedged mutual fund. The level of risk embedded in Locorr Hedged's feeds directly into exposure calibration. Comparing Locorr Hedged's downside variance to total variance reveals whether the risk profile is skewed toward losses. These risk measures complement the price analysis above by framing how dispersed recent returns have been.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1996 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1414 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2684 | |||
| Variance | 0.0721 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1111 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.23 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.