Locorr Hedged Mutual Fund Forward View

LHEIX Fund

10.12 0.03 0.30%

Naive Prediction is applied to Locorr Hedged Core's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. These values update automatically with each new closing price. AIC measures relative model quality — lower AIC values indicate a better-fitting model. The Naive Prediction model projects Locorr Hedged at 10.10 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This Naive Prediction output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.

A naive forecasting model for Locorr Hedged is a special case of the moving average where the smoothing period is one. The forecast for Locorr Hedged Core on a given trading day is simply the observed closing price of the previous period. Because it uses only a single lag, this model is limited to one-period-ahead forecasts.

Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the Naive Prediction model forecasts Locorr Hedged at 10.10 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0018 , and sum of absolute errors of 1.08 .

This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Locorr Hedged's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Locorr Hedged

Locorr Hedged Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Forecasted Value

The next-day forecast range for Locorr Hedged defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The projected band runs from roughly 9.87 on the downside to about 10.34 on the upside. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.

Market Value

10.12

9.87

Downside

10.10

Expected Value

10.34

Upside

Target Odds

Above Odds

Below Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Naive Prediction model's error metrics for Locorr Hedged mutual fund. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.

AIC	Akaike Information Criteria	110.4646
Bias	Arithmetic mean of the errors	None
MAD	Mean absolute deviation	0.0176
MAPE	Mean absolute percentage error	0.0018
SAE	Sum of the absolute errors	1.0759

The naive model produces a tight forecast range but offers no smoothing of noise or trend detection. It serves primarily as a baseline benchmark — if a more complex model cannot outperform the naive forecast, it may indicate that Locorr Hedged price movements are largely random over the selected horizon.

Other Forecasting Options for Locorr Hedged

The distribution of Locorr Hedged's daily returns is typically non-normal, with fatter tails than a Gaussian model predicts. This reveals hidden support and resistance zones in Locorr Hedged's chart that simple price charts miss. The slope of Locorr Hedged's linear regression channel quantifies trend direction and strength over a chosen lookback period. Divergences between OBV and price foreshadow trend changes in Locorr Hedged.

Locorr Hedged Comparable Funds

These peer funds help position Locorr Hedged within a broader category rather than against operating businesses. This peer set gives investors a way to compare Locorr Hedged's structure and outcomes against similar portfolio vehicles.

Locorr Hedged Core Locorr Strategic Allocation Locorr Spectrum Income Locorr Longshort Modities Locorr Dynamic Equity Locorr Macro Strategies Locorr Macro Strategies American Airlines Group Alcoa Corp Apple Inc Best Buy Co Citigroup SentinelOne CVS Health Corp Chevron Corp

Risk & Return

Correlation

Locorr Hedged Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for Locorr Hedged mutual fund provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in Locorr Hedged. Median and Typical Price smooth out intraday extremes, providing a cleaner reference level for evaluating Locorr Hedged sessions. Persistent divergence between momentum indicators and price often precedes trend reversals in Locorr Hedged.

	Rate Of Daily Change	1.0
	Day Median Price	10.12
	Day Typical Price	10.12
	Price Action Indicator	0.015
	Period Momentum Indicator	0.03

Locorr Hedged Risk Indicators

Assessing Locorr Hedged's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for locorr hedged mutual fund. The level of risk embedded in Locorr Hedged's feeds directly into exposure calibration. Comparing Locorr Hedged's downside variance to total variance reveals whether the risk profile is skewed toward losses. These risk measures complement the price analysis above by framing how dispersed recent returns have been.

	Mean Deviation	0.1996
	Semi Deviation	0.1414
	Standard Deviation	0.2684
	Variance	0.0721
	Downside Variance	0.1111
	Semi Variance	0.02
	Expected Short fall	-0.23

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
	Double Exponential Smoothing
	Triple Exponential Smoothing
	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average