Lime Technologies Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

LIME Stock  SEK 245.00  5.00  2.08%   
Lime Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Lime Technologies' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lime Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lime Technologies AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lime Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lime Technologies AB from the perspective of Lime Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lime Technologies AB on the next trading day is expected to be 245.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 270.50.

Lime Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 245.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lime Technologies to cross-verify your projections.

Lime Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lime price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lime using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lime charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Lime Technologies simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Lime Technologies AB are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Lime Technologies prices get older.

Lime Technologies Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lime Technologies AB on the next trading day is expected to be 245.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.51, mean absolute percentage error of 37.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 270.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lime Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lime Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lime Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lime Technologies  Lime Technologies Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Lime Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lime Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lime Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 242.94 and 247.06, respectively. We have considered Lime Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
245.00
242.94
Downside
245.00
Expected Value
247.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lime Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lime Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.896
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.5917
MADMean absolute deviation4.5083
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0157
SAESum of the absolute errors270.5
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Lime Technologies AB forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Lime Technologies observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Lime Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lime Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
242.94245.00247.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
222.43224.49269.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
235.96286.73337.50
Details

Lime Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lime Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lime Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lime Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lime Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lime Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lime Technologies' historical news coverage. Lime Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 242.94 and 247.06, respectively. We have considered Lime Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
245.00
242.94
Downside
245.00
After-hype Price
247.06
Upside
Lime Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lime Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lime Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lime Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lime Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lime Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.55 
2.06
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
245.00
245.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Lime Technologies Hype Timeline

Lime Technologies is now traded for 245.00on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lime is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.55%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lime Technologies is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 245.00. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lime Technologies to cross-verify your projections.

Lime Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lime Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lime Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Lime Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lime Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Lime Technologies

For every potential investor in Lime, whether a beginner or expert, Lime Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lime Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lime. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lime Technologies' price trends.

Lime Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lime Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lime Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lime Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lime Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lime Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lime Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lime Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lime Technologies AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lime Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lime Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lime Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lime stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Lime Technologies

The number of cover stories for Lime Technologies depends on current market conditions and Lime Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lime Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lime Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Lime Technologies Short Properties

Lime Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Lime Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lime Technologies AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lime Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lime Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments55.2 M

Additional Tools for Lime Stock Analysis

When running Lime Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Lime Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lime Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Lime Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lime Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lime Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lime Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.