Lixte Biotechnology Stock Forward View

LIXTWDelisted Stock  USD 0.02  0.00  0.00%   
Lixte Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Lixte Biotechnology's share price is approaching 36. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lixte Biotechnology, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 36

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lixte Biotechnology's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lixte Biotechnology and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lixte Biotechnology's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lixte Biotechnology Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lixte Biotechnology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lixte Biotechnology Holdings from the perspective of Lixte Biotechnology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lixte Biotechnology Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.92.

Lixte Biotechnology after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.023  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Lixte Biotechnology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lixte price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lixte using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lixte charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Lixte Biotechnology is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Lixte Biotechnology Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Lixte Biotechnology Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lixte Biotechnology Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lixte Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lixte Biotechnology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lixte Biotechnology Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lixte Biotechnology  Lixte Biotechnology Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lixte Biotechnology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lixte Biotechnology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.1826
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0151
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1617
SAESum of the absolute errors0.9183
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lixte Biotechnology Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lixte Biotechnology. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Lixte Biotechnology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lixte Biotechnology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lixte Biotechnology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0248.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0248.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.480.040.56
Details

Lixte Biotechnology After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lixte Biotechnology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lixte Biotechnology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lixte Biotechnology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lixte Biotechnology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lixte Biotechnology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lixte Biotechnology's historical news coverage. Lixte Biotechnology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 48.68, respectively. We have considered Lixte Biotechnology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.02
0.02
After-hype Price
48.68
Upside
Lixte Biotechnology is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lixte Biotechnology is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lixte Biotechnology Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lixte Biotechnology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lixte Biotechnology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lixte Biotechnology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  23.05 
48.66
  0.17 
  0.01 
24 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 24 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.02
0.02
4.16 
657,568  
Notes

Lixte Biotechnology Hype Timeline

Lixte Biotechnology is now traded for 0.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Lixte is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.023 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 4.16%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 23.05%. The volatility of related hype on Lixte Biotechnology is about 7486153.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.03. Lixte Biotechnology Holdings has accumulated about 1.08 M in cash with (3.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 24 days.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Lixte Biotechnology Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lixte Biotechnology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lixte Biotechnology's future price movements. Getting to know how Lixte Biotechnology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lixte Biotechnology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CELUCelularity(0.01)9 per month 0.00 (0.03) 11.11 (8.97) 26.97 
PKBOIgnyte Acquisition Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HEPAHepion Pharmaceuticals 0.04 9 per month 0.00 (0.45) 13.95 (25.00) 78.13 
PTPIPetros Pharmaceuticals 0.02 17 per month 0.00 (0.07) 14.29 (12.50) 55.00 
BCTXWBriaCell Therapeutics Corp 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.21) 14.21 (29.33) 61.85 
XAGELongevity Health Holdings(0.03)10 per month 0.00 (0.04) 18.60 (14.29) 46.80 
OCEAOcean Biomedical 0.00 0 per month 27.42  0.20  160.00 (60.00) 473.33 
IVFINVO Fertility(0.19)8 per month 0.00 (0.01) 12.22 (16.50) 218.36 
SISIShineco 0.00 4 per month 19.32  0.12  47.37 (36.67) 171.35 
SABSSAB Biotherapeutics 0.17 8 per month 3.35  0.04  6.13 (5.80) 22.52 

Lixte Biotechnology Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lixte Biotechnology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lixte Biotechnology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lixte Biotechnology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lixte Biotechnology Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lixte Biotechnology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lixte Biotechnology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lixte Biotechnology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lixte Biotechnology Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lixte Biotechnology Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lixte Biotechnology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lixte Biotechnology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lixte stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Lixte Biotechnology

The number of cover stories for Lixte Biotechnology depends on current market conditions and Lixte Biotechnology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lixte Biotechnology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lixte Biotechnology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lixte Biotechnology Short Properties

Lixte Biotechnology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lixte Biotechnology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lixte Biotechnology Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lixte Biotechnology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lixte Biotechnology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

Other Consideration for investing in Lixte Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Lixte Biotechnology check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Lixte Biotechnology's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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