Luk Fook Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| LKFLF Stock | USD 3.90 0.72 22.64% |
Luk Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Luk Fook's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Luk Fook's share price is above 70 as of 26th of January 2026. This indicates that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Luk, making its price go up or down. Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Luk Fook hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Luk Fook Holdings from the perspective of Luk Fook response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Luk Fook Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 4.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.88. Luk Fook after-hype prediction price | USD 3.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Luk |
Luk Fook Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Luk price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Luk using various technical indicators. When you analyze Luk charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Luk Fook Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Luk Fook Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 4.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Luk Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Luk Fook's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Luk Fook Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Luk Fook Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Luk Fook's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Luk Fook's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 10.18, respectively. We have considered Luk Fook's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Luk Fook pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Luk Fook pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.6772 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1456 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0481 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.8836 |
Predictive Modules for Luk Fook
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luk Fook Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Luk Fook After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Luk Fook at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Luk Fook or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Luk Fook, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Luk Fook Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Luk Fook's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Luk Fook's historical news coverage. Luk Fook's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 9.45, respectively. We have considered Luk Fook's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Luk Fook is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Luk Fook Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Luk Fook Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Luk Fook is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Luk Fook backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Luk Fook, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 5.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.90 | 3.90 | 0.00 |
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Luk Fook Hype Timeline
Luk Fook Holdings is now traded for 3.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Luk is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Luk Fook is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.90. About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.83. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Luk Fook Holdings last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Luk Fook to cross-verify your projections.Luk Fook Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Luk Fook's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Luk Fook's future price movements. Getting to know how Luk Fook's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Luk Fook may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YMDAF | Yamada Holdings Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SHALY | Shangri La Asia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.70 | (1.67) | 16.65 | |
| TOMYY | TOMY Company | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DSITF | Dixons Carphone plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 0.60 | (2.87) | 16.53 | |
| MBPFF | Mitchells Butlers plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.85 | |
| NTXVF | Nexteer Automotive Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.67 | 0.00 | 28.43 | |
| TPSRF | Topsports International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.70 | (2.63) | 16.90 | |
| CGGGF | Coats Group plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2.73 | (0.95) | 13.96 | |
| MAWHF | Man Wah Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PGCMF | Puregold Price Club | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.74 |
Other Forecasting Options for Luk Fook
For every potential investor in Luk, whether a beginner or expert, Luk Fook's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Luk Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Luk. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Luk Fook's price trends.Luk Fook Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Luk Fook pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Luk Fook could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Luk Fook by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Luk Fook Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Luk Fook pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Luk Fook shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Luk Fook pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Luk Fook Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.23 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.9 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.36 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.72 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 71.33 |
Luk Fook Risk Indicators
The analysis of Luk Fook's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Luk Fook's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting luk pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.47 | |||
| Variance | 29.91 | |||
| Downside Variance | 98.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (14.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Luk Fook
The number of cover stories for Luk Fook depends on current market conditions and Luk Fook's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Luk Fook is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Luk Fook's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Luk Pink Sheet
Luk Fook financial ratios help investors to determine whether Luk Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Luk with respect to the benefits of owning Luk Fook security.