Lloyds Banking Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| LLDTF Stock | USD 1.46 0.04 2.67% |
Lloyds Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lloyds Banking's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Lloyds Banking's share price is at 59. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lloyds Banking, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lloyds Banking hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lloyds Banking Group from the perspective of Lloyds Banking response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lloyds Banking Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.85. Lloyds Banking after-hype prediction price | USD 1.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lloyds |
Lloyds Banking Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lloyds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lloyds using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lloyds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lloyds Banking Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lloyds Banking Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lloyds Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lloyds Banking's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lloyds Banking Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lloyds Banking | Lloyds Banking Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Lloyds Banking Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lloyds Banking's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lloyds Banking's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.87, respectively. We have considered Lloyds Banking's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lloyds Banking pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lloyds Banking pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.4506 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0042 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0308 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0242 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.85 |
Predictive Modules for Lloyds Banking
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lloyds Banking Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lloyds Banking's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lloyds Banking After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lloyds Banking at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lloyds Banking or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Lloyds Banking, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lloyds Banking Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lloyds Banking's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lloyds Banking's historical news coverage. Lloyds Banking's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 5.93, respectively. We have considered Lloyds Banking's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lloyds Banking is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lloyds Banking Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lloyds Banking Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lloyds Banking is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lloyds Banking backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lloyds Banking, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 4.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.46 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
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Lloyds Banking Hype Timeline
Lloyds Banking Group is now traded for 1.46. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lloyds is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.4%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lloyds Banking is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.46. About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.7. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lloyds Banking Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.18. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of August 2022. The firm had 841:560 split on the 27th of November 2009. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lloyds Banking to cross-verify your projections.Lloyds Banking Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lloyds Banking's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lloyds Banking's future price movements. Getting to know how Lloyds Banking's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lloyds Banking may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OVCHF | Oversea Chinese Banking | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 2.31 | 0.00 | 13.99 | |
| NBNKF | Nordea Bank Abp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.07 | 3.59 | (1.65) | 17.31 | |
| NRDBY | Nordea Bank Abp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | 0.19 | 1.94 | (1.67) | 4.06 | |
| PBCRY | Bank Central Asia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.58 | (2.27) | 4.34 | |
| OVCHY | Overseas Chinese Banking | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.24 | 0.32 | 2.15 | (1.18) | 7.02 | |
| BNCDY | Banca Mediolanum SPA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | 0.07 | 4.22 | (3.06) | 13.85 | |
| CRARF | Crdit Agricole SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | (0.0006) | 3.31 | (2.17) | 7.33 | |
| CHCJY | China Citic Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.17 | (0) | 6.34 | (8.59) | 30.43 | |
| RBSPF | NatWest Group PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.44 | 0.09 | 5.51 | (4.39) | 13.01 | |
| CIXPF | CaixaBank SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 2.85 | (0.24) | 13.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lloyds Banking
For every potential investor in Lloyds, whether a beginner or expert, Lloyds Banking's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lloyds Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lloyds. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lloyds Banking's price trends.Lloyds Banking Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lloyds Banking pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lloyds Banking could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lloyds Banking by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lloyds Banking Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lloyds Banking pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lloyds Banking shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lloyds Banking pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Lloyds Banking Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.46 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 59.6 |
Lloyds Banking Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lloyds Banking's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lloyds Banking's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lloyds pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.41 | |||
| Variance | 19.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.71 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lloyds Banking
The number of cover stories for Lloyds Banking depends on current market conditions and Lloyds Banking's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lloyds Banking is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lloyds Banking's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Lloyds Pink Sheet
When determining whether Lloyds Banking Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lloyds Banking's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lloyds Banking's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lloyds Pink Sheet, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lloyds Banking to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.