Lakeland Industries Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

LLI Stock  EUR 22.60  1.00  4.63%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Lakeland Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 22.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.78. Lakeland Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lakeland Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Lakeland Industries polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Lakeland Industries as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Lakeland Industries Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Lakeland Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 22.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lakeland Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lakeland Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lakeland Industries Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lakeland Industries Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lakeland Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lakeland Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.15 and 25.69, respectively. We have considered Lakeland Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.60
22.42
Expected Value
25.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lakeland Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lakeland Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3292
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.521
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0272
SAESum of the absolute errors31.7825
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Lakeland Industries historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Lakeland Industries

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lakeland Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.3022.6025.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.5017.8024.86
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lakeland Industries

For every potential investor in Lakeland, whether a beginner or expert, Lakeland Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lakeland Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lakeland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lakeland Industries' price trends.

Lakeland Industries Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lakeland Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lakeland Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lakeland Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lakeland Industries Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lakeland Industries' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lakeland Industries' current price.

Lakeland Industries Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lakeland Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lakeland Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lakeland Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lakeland Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lakeland Industries Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lakeland Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lakeland Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lakeland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Lakeland Stock

When determining whether Lakeland Industries is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lakeland Industries' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lakeland Industries' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lakeland Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lakeland Industries to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Lakeland Stock please use our How to Invest in Lakeland Industries guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lakeland Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lakeland Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lakeland Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.