Alliant Energy Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LNT Stock  USD 65.40  0.80  1.24%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Alliant Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 65.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.34. Alliant Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Alliant Energy's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Alliant Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alliant Energy Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Alliant Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.5279
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.2159
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.4304
Wall Street Target Price
72.1
Using Alliant Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alliant Energy Corp from the perspective of Alliant Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Alliant Energy using Alliant Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Alliant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Alliant Energy's stock price.

Alliant Energy Short Interest

An investor who is long Alliant Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Alliant Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Alliant Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
64.2409
Short Percent
0.0875
Short Ratio
10.31
Shares Short Prior Month
19.4 M
50 Day MA
66.6794

Alliant Energy Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Alliant Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alliant. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alliant can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alliant Energy Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Alliant Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Alliant Energy.

Alliant Energy Implied Volatility

    
  0.37  
Alliant Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alliant Energy Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alliant Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alliant Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alliant Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Alliant Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 65.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.34.

Alliant Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 64.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alliant Energy to cross-verify your projections.
Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 0.37 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 5.94 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 828.3 M in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 182.3 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Alliant Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Alliant Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Alliant Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Alliant Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Alliant Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Alliant Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Alliant Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Alliant. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Alliant Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alliant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alliant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alliant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Alliant Energy's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1994-03-31
Previous Quarter
329 M
Current Value
503 M
Quarterly Volatility
142.2 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Alliant Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Alliant Energy Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Alliant Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Alliant Energy Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 65.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alliant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alliant Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alliant Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Alliant EnergyAlliant Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Alliant Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alliant Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alliant Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 65.09 and 66.71, respectively. We have considered Alliant Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
65.40
65.90
Expected Value
66.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alliant Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alliant Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.5532
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5957
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0089
SAESum of the absolute errors36.3351
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Alliant Energy Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Alliant Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Alliant Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alliant Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.8164.6265.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.1468.9669.77
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
65.6172.1080.03
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.820.860.88
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Alliant Energy

For every potential investor in Alliant, whether a beginner or expert, Alliant Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alliant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alliant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alliant Energy's price trends.

Alliant Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alliant Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alliant Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alliant Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alliant Energy Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alliant Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alliant Energy's current price.

Alliant Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alliant Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alliant Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alliant Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alliant Energy Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Alliant Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alliant Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alliant Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alliant stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Alliant Stock Analysis

When running Alliant Energy's price analysis, check to measure Alliant Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alliant Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Alliant Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alliant Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alliant Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alliant Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.