Light Wonder Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Light Wonder Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Light price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Light using various technical indicators. When you analyze Light charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Light Wonder is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Light Wonder value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Light Wonder Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Light Wonder on the next trading day is expected to be 96.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.48, mean absolute percentage error of 4.67, and the sum of the absolute errors of 90.34.

Light Wonder Stock Forecast Pattern

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Light Wonder Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Light Wonder stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Light Wonder stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Light Wonder. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Light Wonder. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Light Wonder

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Light Wonder. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 95.91 99.00 102.09 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 75.41 78.50 108.90 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 72.90 89.21 105.51 Details

Light Wonder After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Light Wonder Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Light Wonder Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Light Wonder Hype Timeline

On the 27th of January Light Wonder is traded for 99.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.62. Light is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Light Wonder is about 574.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 99.62. About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.53. Light Wonder had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 26th of October 1993. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Light Wonder Related Hype Analysis

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Risk & Return

Correlation

Light Wonder Market Strength Events

Light Wonder Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Light Wonder

Light Wonder Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in Light Stock