LOBO EV Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| LOBO Stock | 0.61 0 0.66% |
LOBO Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although LOBO EV's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of LOBO EV's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of LOBO EV fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of LOBO EV's share price is approaching 45. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling LOBO EV, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.2 | Wall Street Target Price 4 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
Using LOBO EV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES from the perspective of LOBO EV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES on the next trading day is expected to be 0.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.37. LOBO EV after-hype prediction price | USD 0.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LOBO EV to cross-verify your projections. LOBO EV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LOBO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LOBO using various technical indicators. When you analyze LOBO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
LOBO EV Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES on the next trading day is expected to be 0.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LOBO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LOBO EV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
LOBO EV Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest LOBO EV | LOBO EV Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
LOBO EV Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting LOBO EV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LOBO EV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 9.72, respectively. We have considered LOBO EV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LOBO EV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LOBO EV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.014 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0401 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0623 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.366 |
Predictive Modules for LOBO EV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LOBO EV After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LOBO EV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LOBO EV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LOBO EV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LOBO EV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LOBO EV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LOBO EV's historical news coverage. LOBO EV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 9.71, respectively. We have considered LOBO EV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LOBO EV is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES is based on 3 months time horizon.
LOBO EV Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LOBO EV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LOBO EV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LOBO EV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 9.10 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.61 | 0.61 | 0.65 |
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LOBO EV Hype Timeline
LOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES is now traded for 0.61. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. LOBO is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.61. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.65%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on LOBO EV is about 3669.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.63. About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.89. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. LOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES recorded a loss per share of 0.35. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LOBO EV to cross-verify your projections.LOBO EV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LOBO EV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LOBO EV's future price movements. Getting to know how LOBO EV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LOBO EV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CENN | Cenntro Electric Group | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 13.33 | (6.67) | 24.81 | |
| FLYE | Fly E Group Common | 0.16 | 9 per month | 11.97 | 0.04 | 21.57 | (20.17) | 284.75 | |
| UCAR | U Power Limited | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.79 | (5.00) | 15.91 | |
| WKHS | Workhorse Group | 0.19 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 10.78 | (8.50) | 56.82 | |
| AIEV | Thunder Power Holdings | 0.35 | 29 per month | 13.50 | 0.05 | 46.15 | (27.78) | 138.46 | |
| ECDA | ECD Automotive Design | (0.11) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 17.65 | (27.61) | 138.90 | |
| DSS | DSS Inc | (0.48) | 34 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 10.00 | (6.30) | 22.05 | |
| REBN | Reborn Coffee | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.95 | (9.04) | 27.14 | |
| IPW | iPower Inc | 1.14 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 12.24 | (17.32) | 57.41 | |
| FGI | FGI Industries | 1.36 | 6 per month | 7.69 | 0.05 | 16.30 | (14.12) | 50.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for LOBO EV
For every potential investor in LOBO, whether a beginner or expert, LOBO EV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LOBO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LOBO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LOBO EV's price trends.LOBO EV Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LOBO EV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LOBO EV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LOBO EV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
LOBO EV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LOBO EV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LOBO EV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LOBO EV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.61 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.61 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.006 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.004 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.11 |
LOBO EV Risk Indicators
The analysis of LOBO EV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LOBO EV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lobo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.19 | |||
| Variance | 84.54 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for LOBO EV
The number of cover stories for LOBO EV depends on current market conditions and LOBO EV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LOBO EV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LOBO EV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LOBO EV Short Properties
LOBO EV's future price predictability will typically decrease when LOBO EV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LOBO EV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LOBO EV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LOBO EV to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Will Motorcycle Manufacturers sector continue expanding? Could LOBO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LOBO EV. Expected growth trajectory for LOBO significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every LOBO EV data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | Earnings Share (0.35) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) | Return On Assets |
LOBO EV TECHNOLOGIES's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on LOBO's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate LOBO EV's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since LOBO EV's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that LOBO EV's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LOBO EV represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, LOBO EV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.