Grand Canyon Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| LOPE Stock | USD 177.99 1.71 0.95% |
Grand Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Grand Canyon stock prices and determine the direction of Grand Canyon Education's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Grand Canyon's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Grand Canyon's share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Grand Canyon, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.1933 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.08 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.9333 | Wall Street Target Price 222.6667 |
Using Grand Canyon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grand Canyon Education from the perspective of Grand Canyon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Grand Canyon using Grand Canyon's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Grand using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Grand Canyon's stock price.
Grand Canyon Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Grand Canyon's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Grand. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Grand Canyon stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 185.6261 | Short Percent 0.0359 | Short Ratio 2.02 | Shares Short Prior Month 802.2 K | 50 Day MA 165.8078 |
Grand Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Grand Canyon Education on the next trading day is expected to be 177.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 177.95.Grand Canyon Education Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Grand Canyon's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Grand. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Grand can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Grand Canyon Education. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Grand Canyon's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Grand Canyon.
Grand Canyon Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Grand Canyon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Grand Canyon Education stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Grand Canyon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Grand Canyon stock will not fluctuate a lot when Grand Canyon's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Grand Canyon Education on the next trading day is expected to be 177.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 177.95. Grand Canyon after-hype prediction price | USD 177.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grand Canyon to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Grand contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Grand Canyon Education will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Grand Canyon trading at USD 177.99, that is roughly USD 0.0434 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Grand Canyon's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Grand Canyon Education options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Grand Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Grand Canyon's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Grand Canyon's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Grand Canyon stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Grand Canyon's open interest, investors have to compare it to Grand Canyon's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Grand Canyon is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Grand. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Grand Canyon Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grand price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grand using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grand charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Grand Canyon Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Grand Canyon Education on the next trading day is expected to be 177.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.02, mean absolute percentage error of 20.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 177.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grand Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grand Canyon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Grand Canyon Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Grand Canyon | Grand Canyon Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Grand Canyon Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Grand Canyon's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Grand Canyon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 175.79 and 180.19, respectively. We have considered Grand Canyon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grand Canyon stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grand Canyon stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.4378 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.7514 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0161 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0178 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 177.95 |
Predictive Modules for Grand Canyon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grand Canyon Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Grand Canyon After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grand Canyon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grand Canyon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Grand Canyon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grand Canyon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grand Canyon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grand Canyon's historical news coverage. Grand Canyon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 175.80 and 180.18, respectively. We have considered Grand Canyon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grand Canyon is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grand Canyon Education is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grand Canyon Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grand Canyon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grand Canyon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grand Canyon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 2.20 | 1.08 | 1.00 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
177.99 | 177.99 | 0.00 |
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Grand Canyon Hype Timeline
Grand Canyon Education is now traded for 177.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.0. Grand is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 56.85%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Grand Canyon is about 61.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 178.99. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.17. Grand Canyon Education recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.42. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grand Canyon to cross-verify your projections.Grand Canyon Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grand Canyon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grand Canyon's future price movements. Getting to know how Grand Canyon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grand Canyon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LRN | Stride Inc | 0.66 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.18 | (3.66) | 59.00 | |
| ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | 2.39 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.21 | (3.54) | 31.43 | |
| TAL | TAL Education Group | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.32 | (2.99) | 14.18 | |
| LAUR | Laureate Education | 0.51 | 12 per month | 1.97 | 0.09 | 3.64 | (2.34) | 18.76 | |
| POST | Post Holdings | (0.45) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.02 | (2.44) | 9.22 | |
| GHC | Graham Holdings Co | 28.11 | 10 per month | 0.99 | 0.11 | 2.80 | (1.85) | 7.85 | |
| EDU | New Oriental Education | 0.03 | 10 per month | 1.68 | (0.03) | 3.64 | (3.34) | 8.63 | |
| MZTI | The Marzetti | 3.67 | 11 per month | 1.15 | (0.03) | 1.98 | (1.93) | 12.08 | |
| STRA | Strategic Education | 0.24 | 8 per month | 2.18 | 0.02 | 2.39 | (4.08) | 12.29 | |
| DAR | Darling Ingredients | 0.64 | 11 per month | 1.61 | 0.16 | 4.56 | (3.21) | 17.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for Grand Canyon
For every potential investor in Grand, whether a beginner or expert, Grand Canyon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Grand Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Grand. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Grand Canyon's price trends.Grand Canyon Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grand Canyon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grand Canyon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grand Canyon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Grand Canyon Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grand Canyon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grand Canyon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grand Canyon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Grand Canyon Education entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0267 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.35) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 178.09 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 178.06 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 4.82 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.95) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.71) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.88 |
Grand Canyon Risk Indicators
The analysis of Grand Canyon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grand Canyon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grand stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Variance | 4.61 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Grand Canyon
The number of cover stories for Grand Canyon depends on current market conditions and Grand Canyon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grand Canyon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grand Canyon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Grand Canyon Short Properties
Grand Canyon's future price predictability will typically decrease when Grand Canyon's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Grand Canyon Education often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Grand Canyon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grand Canyon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 324.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Grand Canyon to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grand Canyon. If investors know Grand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grand Canyon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Earnings Share 7.42 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.096 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Grand Canyon Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grand Canyon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grand Canyon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grand Canyon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grand Canyon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grand Canyon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grand Canyon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grand Canyon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.