LivePerson Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| LPSN Stock | USD 2.98 0.11 3.83% |
LivePerson Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although LivePerson's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of LivePerson's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of LivePerson fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of LivePerson's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (1.80) | EPS Estimate Current Year (6.19) | EPS Estimate Next Year (6.62) | Wall Street Target Price 8 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (2.30) |
Using LivePerson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LivePerson from the perspective of LivePerson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LivePerson using LivePerson's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards LivePerson using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LivePerson's stock price.
LivePerson Implied Volatility | 1.46 |
LivePerson's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LivePerson stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LivePerson's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LivePerson stock will not fluctuate a lot when LivePerson's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of LivePerson on the next trading day is expected to be 2.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.48. LivePerson after-hype prediction price | USD 3.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LivePerson | Build AI portfolio with LivePerson Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current LivePerson contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that LivePerson will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0913% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With LivePerson trading at USD 2.98, that is roughly USD 0.002719 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating LivePerson's daily price movement you should consider acquiring LivePerson options at the current volatility level of 1.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 LivePerson Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast LivePerson's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in LivePerson's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for LivePerson stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current LivePerson's open interest, investors have to compare it to LivePerson's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of LivePerson is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in LivePerson. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
LivePerson Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LivePerson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LivePerson using various technical indicators. When you analyze LivePerson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
LivePerson Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of LivePerson on the next trading day is expected to be 2.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LivePerson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LivePerson's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
LivePerson Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest LivePerson | LivePerson Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
LivePerson Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting LivePerson's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LivePerson's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 7.33, respectively. We have considered LivePerson's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LivePerson stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LivePerson stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5902 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.221 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0504 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.4839 |
Predictive Modules for LivePerson
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LivePerson. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LivePerson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LivePerson After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LivePerson at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LivePerson or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LivePerson, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LivePerson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LivePerson's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LivePerson's historical news coverage. LivePerson's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 7.53, respectively. We have considered LivePerson's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LivePerson is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LivePerson is based on 3 months time horizon.
LivePerson Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LivePerson is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LivePerson backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LivePerson, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.90 | 4.48 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.98 | 3.05 | 2.35 |
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LivePerson Hype Timeline
LivePerson is now traded for 2.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. LivePerson is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.05 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 2.35%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.9%. The volatility of related hype on LivePerson is about 3796.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.09. LivePerson currently holds 527.23 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.17, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LivePerson to cross-verify your projections.LivePerson Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LivePerson's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LivePerson's future price movements. Getting to know how LivePerson's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LivePerson may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INLX | Intellinetics | (0.20) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.96 | (2.87) | 11.14 | |
| BMR | Beamr Imaging Ltd | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.90 | (8.19) | 19.23 | |
| VBIX | Viewbix Common Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.69 | (7.00) | 42.61 | |
| BLIV | BeLive Holdings Ordinary | (0.15) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.45 | (8.10) | 25.76 | |
| NXPL | Nextplat Corp | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.67 | (10.23) | 18.09 | |
| GREE | Greenidge Generation Holdings | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 9.09 | (10.93) | 57.17 | |
| CYN | Cyngn Inc | 0.20 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 10.70 | (11.26) | 28.85 | |
| MFI | mF International Limited | 0.74 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 18.00 | (15.70) | 47.72 | |
| NXTT | Next Technology Holding | 0.49 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 17.13 | (15.00) | 47.42 | |
| MOBX | Mobix Labs | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 13.24 | (13.51) | 61.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for LivePerson
For every potential investor in LivePerson, whether a beginner or expert, LivePerson's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LivePerson Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LivePerson. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LivePerson's price trends.LivePerson Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LivePerson stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LivePerson could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LivePerson by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
LivePerson Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LivePerson stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LivePerson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LivePerson stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LivePerson entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
LivePerson Risk Indicators
The analysis of LivePerson's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LivePerson's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting liveperson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.49 | |||
| Variance | 20.14 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for LivePerson
The number of cover stories for LivePerson depends on current market conditions and LivePerson's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LivePerson is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LivePerson's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LivePerson Short Properties
LivePerson's future price predictability will typically decrease when LivePerson's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LivePerson often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LivePerson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LivePerson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 183.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LivePerson to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in LivePerson Stock, please use our How to Invest in LivePerson guide.You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could LivePerson diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LivePerson. Expected growth trajectory for LivePerson significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every LivePerson data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (23.79) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate LivePerson using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating LivePerson's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause LivePerson's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that LivePerson's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LivePerson represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, LivePerson's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.