LOréal SA Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

LRLCF Stock  USD 422.05  5.71  1.33%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LOral SA on the next trading day is expected to be 424.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 462.88. LOréal Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LOréal SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of LOréal SA's share price is at 57. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling LOréal SA, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of LOréal SA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of LOréal SA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from LOréal SA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LOral SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using LOréal SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LOral SA from the perspective of LOréal SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LOral SA on the next trading day is expected to be 424.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 462.88.

LOréal SA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 427.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LOréal SA to cross-verify your projections.

LOréal SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LOréal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LOréal using various technical indicators. When you analyze LOréal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for LOréal SA works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

LOréal SA Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LOral SA on the next trading day is expected to be 424.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.85, mean absolute percentage error of 96.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 462.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LOréal Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LOréal SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LOréal SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest LOréal SALOréal SA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

LOréal SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LOréal SA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LOréal SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 421.95 and 426.73, respectively. We have considered LOréal SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
422.05
421.95
Downside
424.34
Expected Value
426.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LOréal SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LOréal SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.4546
MADMean absolute deviation7.8455
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0182
SAESum of the absolute errors462.882
When LOral SA prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any LOral SA trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent LOréal SA observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for LOréal SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LOréal SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LOréal SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
425.36427.76430.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
359.03361.43470.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
418.04433.07448.10
Details

Other Forecasting Options for LOréal SA

For every potential investor in LOréal, whether a beginner or expert, LOréal SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LOréal Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LOréal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LOréal SA's price trends.

LOréal SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LOréal SA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LOréal SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LOréal SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LOréal SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LOréal SA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LOréal SA's current price.

LOréal SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LOréal SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LOréal SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LOréal SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify LOral SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LOréal SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of LOréal SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LOréal SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting loréal pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in LOréal Pink Sheet

LOréal SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether LOréal Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LOréal with respect to the benefits of owning LOréal SA security.