LOral SA Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

LRLCF Stock  USD 467.68  19.68  4.39%   
LOral Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LOral SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of LOral SA's share price is at 56. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling LOral SA, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of LOral SA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of LOral SA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from LOral SA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LOral SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using LOral SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LOral SA from the perspective of LOral SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of LOral SA on the next trading day is expected to be 457.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 567.12.

LOral SA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 467.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LOral SA to cross-verify your projections.

LOral SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LOral price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LOral using various technical indicators. When you analyze LOral charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through LOral SA price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

LOral SA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of LOral SA on the next trading day is expected to be 457.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.15, mean absolute percentage error of 123.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 567.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LOral Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LOral SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LOral SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest LOral SA  LOral SA Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

LOral SA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LOral SA's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LOral SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 454.85 and 459.32, respectively. We have considered LOral SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
467.68
454.85
Downside
457.08
Expected Value
459.32
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LOral SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LOral SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.7675
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.147
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.021
SAESum of the absolute errors567.1155
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as LOral SA historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for LOral SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LOral SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LOral SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
465.41467.68469.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
449.59451.86514.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
416.29445.57474.85
Details

LOral SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of LOral SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LOral SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of LOral SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

LOral SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting LOral SA's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LOral SA's historical news coverage. LOral SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 465.41 and 469.95, respectively. We have considered LOral SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
467.68
465.41
Downside
467.68
After-hype Price
469.95
Upside
LOral SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LOral SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

LOral SA Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LOral SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LOral SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LOral SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
2.24
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
467.68
467.68
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

LOral SA Hype Timeline

LOral SA is now traded for 467.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. LOral is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on LOral SA is about 1529.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 467.71. About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.34. LOral SA recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.74. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of April 2023. The firm had 10:1 split on the 3rd of July 2000. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LOral SA to cross-verify your projections.

LOral SA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to LOral SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LOral SA's future price movements. Getting to know how LOral SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LOral SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IPARInter Parfums(0.06)8 per month 2.05 (0.02) 2.62 (3.84) 8.82 
EWCZEuropean Wax Center 0.00 0 per month 3.16 (0) 4.47 (6.16) 20.89 
ELEstee Lauder Companies 1.46 10 per month 1.63  0.07  3.89 (2.95) 8.23 
RBGLYReckitt Benckiser Group 0.37 2 per month 0.68  0.07  1.79 (1.34) 4.41 
CLXThe Clorox 1.28 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.86 (2.81) 7.64 
LRLCYLOreal Co ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.89  0.09  2.33 (1.77) 7.86 
ULUnilever PLC ADR 0.60 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.89 (1.81) 8.92 
CHDChurch Dwight 0.63 8 per month 1.19  0.04  2.33 (1.92) 10.66 
ELFELF Beauty 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.33 (4.31) 35.04 
PGProcter Gamble(0.69)7 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.84 (1.56) 5.66 
CLColgate Palmolive 0.04 8 per month 1.20  0.07  1.93 (2.16) 6.59 
COTYCoty Inc 0.05 9 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.61 (4.14) 9.89 
KVUEKenvue Inc(0.22)10 per month 1.01  0.09  2.27 (2.09) 15.22 
KMBKimberly Clark(1.41)8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.17 (1.59) 17.56 

Other Forecasting Options for LOral SA

For every potential investor in LOral, whether a beginner or expert, LOral SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LOral Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LOral. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LOral SA's price trends.

LOral SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LOral SA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LOral SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LOral SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LOral SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LOral SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LOral SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LOral SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify LOral SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LOral SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of LOral SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LOral SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting loral pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for LOral SA

The number of cover stories for LOral SA depends on current market conditions and LOral SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LOral SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LOral SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in LOral Pink Sheet

LOral SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether LOral Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LOral with respect to the benefits of owning LOral SA security.