Lightbridge Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

LTBR Stock  USD 16.40  0.13  0.80%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lightbridge Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.08. Lightbridge Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Lightbridge Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Lightbridge Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Lightbridge Corp fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Lightbridge Corp's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lightbridge Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lightbridge Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lightbridge Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lightbridge Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lightbridge Corp's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
10.5
Using Lightbridge Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lightbridge Corp from the perspective of Lightbridge Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lightbridge Corp using Lightbridge Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lightbridge using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lightbridge Corp's stock price.

Lightbridge Corp Short Interest

An investor who is long Lightbridge Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lightbridge Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lightbridge Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
14.0435
Short Percent
0.098
Short Ratio
1.24
Shares Short Prior Month
3.4 M
50 Day MA
21

Lightbridge Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lightbridge Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lightbridge. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lightbridge can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lightbridge Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lightbridge Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lightbridge Corp.

Lightbridge Corp Implied Volatility

    
  1.46  
Lightbridge Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lightbridge Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lightbridge Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lightbridge Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lightbridge Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lightbridge Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.08.

Lightbridge Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lightbridge Corp to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Lightbridge Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lightbridge Corp guide.At this time, Lightbridge Corp's Receivables Turnover is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 01/08/2026, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 201.83, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 0.55. . As of 01/08/2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 17.5 M, while Net Loss is likely to drop (7.1 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Lightbridge Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lightbridge Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lightbridge Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lightbridge Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lightbridge Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lightbridge Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lightbridge Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lightbridge. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Lightbridge Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lightbridge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lightbridge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lightbridge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Lightbridge Corp Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Lightbridge Corp's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1999-12-31
Previous Quarter
97.9 M
Current Value
153.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
20.4 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Lightbridge Corp is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Lightbridge Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Lightbridge Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lightbridge Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 17.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29, mean absolute percentage error of 2.79, and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.08.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lightbridge Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lightbridge Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lightbridge Corp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lightbridge CorpLightbridge Corp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Lightbridge Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lightbridge Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lightbridge Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.76 and 24.55, respectively. We have considered Lightbridge Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.40
17.15
Expected Value
24.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lightbridge Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lightbridge Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.9741
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.2916
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0688
SAESum of the absolute errors80.0791
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lightbridge Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lightbridge Corp. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Lightbridge Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lightbridge Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.0016.4023.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.9615.3622.76
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.5610.5011.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lightbridge Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lightbridge Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lightbridge Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lightbridge Corp.

Other Forecasting Options for Lightbridge Corp

For every potential investor in Lightbridge, whether a beginner or expert, Lightbridge Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lightbridge Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lightbridge. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lightbridge Corp's price trends.

Lightbridge Corp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lightbridge Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lightbridge Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lightbridge Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lightbridge Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lightbridge Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lightbridge Corp's current price.

Lightbridge Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lightbridge Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lightbridge Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lightbridge Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lightbridge Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lightbridge Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lightbridge Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lightbridge Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lightbridge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Lightbridge Corp

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Lightbridge Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Lightbridge Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Lightbridge Stock

  0.82TIC AcurenPairCorr
  0.65603060 China Building MaterialPairCorr

Moving against Lightbridge Stock

  0.9RHLD Resolute Holdings Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.74HURN Huron ConsultingPairCorr
  0.68BRK-A Berkshire HathawayPairCorr
  0.63MCHB Mechanics Bank Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.59MEOAF Melbana EnergyPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Lightbridge Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Lightbridge Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Lightbridge Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Lightbridge Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Lightbridge Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Lightbridge Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Lightbridge Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Lightbridge Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Lightbridge Stock Analysis

When running Lightbridge Corp's price analysis, check to measure Lightbridge Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lightbridge Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Lightbridge Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lightbridge Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lightbridge Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lightbridge Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.