Lightbridge Corp Stock Price Prediction
| LTBR Stock | USD 17.62 0.73 3.98% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lightbridge Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lightbridge Corp from the perspective of Lightbridge Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lightbridge Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lightbridge because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lightbridge Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 17.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Lightbridge Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lightbridge Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lightbridge Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lightbridge Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lightbridge Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lightbridge Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lightbridge Corp's historical news coverage. Lightbridge Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.47 and 23.77, respectively. We have considered Lightbridge Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lightbridge Corp is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lightbridge Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lightbridge Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lightbridge Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lightbridge Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lightbridge Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 6.19 | 0.20 | 0.13 | 22 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 22 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.62 | 17.62 | 0.00 |
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Lightbridge Corp Hype Timeline
Lightbridge Corp is now traded for 17.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Lightbridge is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lightbridge Corp is about 1650.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.49. About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Lightbridge Corp was now reported as 5.05. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.79. Lightbridge Corp last dividend was issued on the 21st of October 2019. The entity had 1:12 split on the 21st of October 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 22 days. Check out Lightbridge Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Lightbridge Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lightbridge Corp guide.Lightbridge Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lightbridge Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lightbridge Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Lightbridge Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lightbridge Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADSE | Ads Tec Energy | 0.06 | 8 per month | 2.52 | 0.06 | 5.43 | (4.04) | 17.85 | |
| EH | Ehang Holdings | (0.59) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.79 | (5.09) | 17.58 | |
| KE | Kimball Electronics | (1.07) | 8 per month | 2.45 | 0 | 3.71 | (4.20) | 12.83 | |
| TE | T1 Energy | (0.59) | 17 per month | 5.96 | 0.14 | 15.44 | (9.35) | 30.81 | |
| VSTS | Vestis | 0.21 | 11 per month | 3.33 | 0.11 | 6.21 | (6.30) | 18.68 | |
| RYI | Ryerson Holding Corp | (0.59) | 15 per month | 2.16 | 0.14 | 4.22 | (4.44) | 11.34 | |
| RR | Richtech Robotics Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 12.77 | (8.78) | 33.10 | |
| KRNT | Kornit Digital | (0.59) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.73 | (4.50) | 12.19 | |
| ASPN | Aspen Aerogels | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.80 | (6.12) | 52.64 | |
| NX | Quanex Building Products | (0.59) | 10 per month | 2.37 | 0.11 | 6.18 | (4.72) | 14.57 |
Lightbridge Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lightbridge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lightbridge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lightbridge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lightbridge Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lightbridge Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lightbridge Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lightbridge Corp based on analysis of Lightbridge Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lightbridge Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lightbridge Corp's related companies.
Pair Trading with Lightbridge Corp
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Lightbridge Corp position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Lightbridge Corp will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Lightbridge Stock
| 0.74 | TRV | The Travelers Companies | PairCorr |
| 0.63 | JNJ | Johnson Johnson | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | PPERY | Bank Mandiri Persero | PairCorr |
| 0.6 | MRK | Merck Company | PairCorr |
| 0.56 | MCD | McDonalds | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | DD | Dupont De Nemours | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Lightbridge Corp could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Lightbridge Corp when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Lightbridge Corp - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Lightbridge Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Lightbridge Corp is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Lightbridge Corp moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Lightbridge Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Lightbridge Corp can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Lightbridge Stock Analysis
When running Lightbridge Corp's price analysis, check to measure Lightbridge Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lightbridge Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Lightbridge Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lightbridge Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lightbridge Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lightbridge Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.