Lithium Ionic Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| LTH Stock | 1.00 0.02 2.04% |
Lithium Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Lithium Ionic's share price is approaching 30. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lithium Ionic, making its price go up or down. Momentum 30
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.06) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.10) | Wall Street Target Price 3.12 |
Using Lithium Ionic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lithium Ionic Corp from the perspective of Lithium Ionic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lithium Ionic Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.22. Lithium Ionic after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lithium |
Lithium Ionic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lithium price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lithium using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lithium charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lithium Ionic Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lithium Ionic Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 1.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lithium Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lithium Ionic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lithium Ionic Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lithium Ionic | Lithium Ionic Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Lithium Ionic Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lithium Ionic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lithium Ionic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 5.65, respectively. We have considered Lithium Ionic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lithium Ionic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lithium Ionic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.0191 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0039 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0364 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0353 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.22 |
Predictive Modules for Lithium Ionic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lithium Ionic Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lithium Ionic After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lithium Ionic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lithium Ionic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lithium Ionic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lithium Ionic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lithium Ionic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lithium Ionic's historical news coverage. Lithium Ionic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 5.64, respectively. We have considered Lithium Ionic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lithium Ionic is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lithium Ionic Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lithium Ionic Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lithium Ionic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lithium Ionic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lithium Ionic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 4.65 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.00 | 0.99 | 1.00 |
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Lithium Ionic Hype Timeline
Lithium Ionic Corp is now traded for 1.00on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Lithium is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -1.0%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Lithium Ionic is about 21882.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.01. About 21.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Lithium Ionic Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 614:1000 split on the 24th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lithium Ionic to cross-verify your projections.Lithium Ionic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lithium Ionic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lithium Ionic's future price movements. Getting to know how Lithium Ionic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lithium Ionic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AG | First Majestic Silver | (0.60) | 9 per month | 4.25 | 0.26 | 9.62 | (6.66) | 27.79 | |
| IE | Ivanhoe Energy | 0.55 | 5 per month | 4.96 | 0.09 | 8.04 | (8.02) | 26.80 | |
| ORE | Orezone Gold Corp | 0.07 | 3 per month | 3.33 | 0.24 | 8.11 | (5.50) | 25.76 | |
| FDY | Faraday Copper Corp | (0.02) | 8 per month | 2.69 | 0.26 | 7.58 | (5.23) | 19.70 | |
| FDR | Flinders Resources Limited | 0.17 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.06 | (6.22) | 16.41 | |
| URZ | Urz Energy Corp | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.82 | (8.33) | 23.31 | |
| AML | Argus Metals Corp | 0.00 | 7 per month | 5.12 | 0.01 | 9.09 | (13.33) | 52.08 | |
| INFM | Infinico Metals Corp | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lithium Ionic
For every potential investor in Lithium, whether a beginner or expert, Lithium Ionic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lithium Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lithium. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lithium Ionic's price trends.Lithium Ionic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lithium Ionic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lithium Ionic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lithium Ionic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lithium Ionic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lithium Ionic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lithium Ionic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lithium Ionic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lithium Ionic Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lithium Ionic Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lithium Ionic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lithium Ionic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lithium stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.6 | |||
| Variance | 21.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.91 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.41) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lithium Ionic
The number of cover stories for Lithium Ionic depends on current market conditions and Lithium Ionic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lithium Ionic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lithium Ionic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Lithium Stock Analysis
When running Lithium Ionic's price analysis, check to measure Lithium Ionic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lithium Ionic is operating at the current time. Most of Lithium Ionic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lithium Ionic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lithium Ionic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lithium Ionic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.