First Majestic Silver Stock Price Patterns
| AG Stock | 31.28 1.89 6.43% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1677 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4993 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.2095 | Wall Street Target Price 39 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.122 |
Using First Majestic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Majestic Silver from the perspective of First Majestic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Majestic to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Majestic after-hype prediction price | CAD 30.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Majestic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Majestic After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Majestic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Majestic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Majestic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Majestic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Majestic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Majestic's historical news coverage. First Majestic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.07 and 35.25, respectively. We have considered First Majestic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Majestic is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Majestic Silver is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Majestic Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Majestic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Majestic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Majestic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.19 | 5.09 | 1.12 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
31.28 | 30.16 | 3.58 |
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First Majestic Hype Timeline
First Majestic Silver is presently traded for 31.28on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. First is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 30.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -3.58%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.19%. The volatility of related hype on First Majestic is about 15270.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.32. About 53.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of First Majestic was presently reported as 7.2. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out First Majestic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Majestic Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Majestic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Majestic's future price movements. Getting to know how First Majestic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Majestic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ORE | Orezone Gold Corp | 0.07 | 3 per month | 3.38 | 0.20 | 8.11 | (5.50) | 25.76 | |
| FDY | Faraday Copper Corp | (0.01) | 8 per month | 2.99 | 0.20 | 6.67 | (5.23) | 19.70 | |
| FDR | Flinders Resources Limited | 0.17 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.98 | (6.22) | 16.41 | |
| URZ | Urz Energy Corp | (0.03) | 3 per month | 4.35 | 0.03 | 9.38 | (8.33) | 25.63 | |
| AML | Argus Metals Corp | 0.00 | 7 per month | 5.12 | 0.01 | 9.09 | (13.33) | 52.08 | |
| INFM | Infinico Metals Corp | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.33 |
First Majestic Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Majestic Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Majestic stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Majestic Silver, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Majestic based on analysis of First Majestic hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Majestic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Majestic's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003446 | 0.003198 | 0.002878 | 0.002222 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.97 | 2.95 | 3.4 | 3.23 |
Pair Trading with First Majestic
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if First Majestic position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Majestic will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with First Stock
Moving against First Stock
| 0.82 | DRT | DIRTT Environmental | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | GUD | Knight Therapeutics | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | AOV | Amotiv Limited | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to First Majestic could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace First Majestic when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back First Majestic - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling First Majestic Silver to buy it.
The correlation of First Majestic is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as First Majestic moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if First Majestic Silver moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for First Majestic can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out First Majestic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.