Lithium Ionic OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

LTHCF Stock  USD 0.93  0.01  1.09%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lithium Ionic Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.33. Lithium OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lithium Ionic's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Lithium Ionic's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Lithium Ionic Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lithium Ionic shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lithium Ionic's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lithium Ionic and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lithium Ionic's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lithium Ionic Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lithium Ionic based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Lithium Ionic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lithium Ionic Corp from the perspective of Lithium Ionic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lithium Ionic Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.33.

Lithium Ionic after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.93  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lithium Ionic to cross-verify your projections.

Lithium Ionic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lithium price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lithium using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lithium charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Lithium Ionic simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Lithium Ionic Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Lithium Ionic Corp prices get older.

Lithium Ionic Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lithium Ionic Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lithium OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lithium Ionic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lithium Ionic OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Lithium IonicLithium Ionic Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Lithium Ionic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lithium Ionic's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lithium Ionic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.30, respectively. We have considered Lithium Ionic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.93
0.93
Expected Value
6.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lithium Ionic otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lithium Ionic otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.5458
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0072
MADMean absolute deviation0.0222
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0326
SAESum of the absolute errors1.33
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Lithium Ionic Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Lithium Ionic observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Lithium Ionic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lithium Ionic Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lithium Ionic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.936.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.826.19
Details

Lithium Ionic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lithium Ionic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lithium Ionic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Lithium Ionic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lithium Ionic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lithium Ionic's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lithium Ionic's historical news coverage. Lithium Ionic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 6.30, respectively. We have considered Lithium Ionic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.93
0.93
After-hype Price
6.30
Upside
Lithium Ionic is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lithium Ionic Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lithium Ionic OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Lithium Ionic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lithium Ionic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lithium Ionic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.14 
5.37
 0.00  
  0.10 
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.93
0.93
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Lithium Ionic Hype Timeline

Lithium Ionic Corp is now traded for 0.93. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.1. Lithium is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lithium Ionic is about 6244.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.03. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lithium Ionic to cross-verify your projections.

Lithium Ionic Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lithium Ionic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lithium Ionic's future price movements. Getting to know how Lithium Ionic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lithium Ionic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FRHYFFrontier Energy Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 0.00  0.00  28.72 
NCFFFNorthcliff Resources 0.00 0 per month 6.38  0.09  12.50 (13.04) 238.46 
ANSNFAnson Resources Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 16.00 (14.63) 44.38 
GLNLFGalan Lithium Limited 0.00 0 per month 5.98  0.21  20.00 (15.00) 58.01 
SRGMFSRG Mining 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  0.00  0.00  205.43 
VTMLFVenture Minerals Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  1,825 
AGXPFSilver X Mining 0.00 0 per month 4.73  0.23  13.33 (7.50) 22.30 
LTMCFLithium Chile 0.86 3 per month 2.71  0.14  5.88 (4.76) 28.51 
RCKTFRock Tech Lithium 0.00 0 per month 2.56  0.11  7.02 (3.92) 18.78 
DFMTFDefense Metals Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 10.53 (12.50) 28.64 

Other Forecasting Options for Lithium Ionic

For every potential investor in Lithium, whether a beginner or expert, Lithium Ionic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lithium OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lithium. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lithium Ionic's price trends.

Lithium Ionic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lithium Ionic otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lithium Ionic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lithium Ionic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lithium Ionic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lithium Ionic otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lithium Ionic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lithium Ionic otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lithium Ionic Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lithium Ionic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lithium Ionic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lithium Ionic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lithium otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Lithium Ionic

The number of cover stories for Lithium Ionic depends on current market conditions and Lithium Ionic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lithium Ionic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lithium Ionic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Lithium OTC Stock

Lithium Ionic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lithium OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lithium with respect to the benefits of owning Lithium Ionic security.