LTIMindtree Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

LTIM Stock   6,172  12.65  0.21%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LTIMindtree Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 6,172 with a mean absolute deviation of 69.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,193. LTIMindtree Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
LTIMindtree simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for LTIMindtree Limited are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as LTIMindtree Limited prices get older.

LTIMindtree Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LTIMindtree Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 6,172 with a mean absolute deviation of 69.89, mean absolute percentage error of 9,974, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,193.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LTIMindtree Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LTIMindtree's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LTIMindtree Stock Forecast Pattern

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LTIMindtree Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LTIMindtree's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LTIMindtree's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6,171 and 6,174, respectively. We have considered LTIMindtree's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6,172
6,172
Expected Value
6,174
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LTIMindtree stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LTIMindtree stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.4803
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -2.0257
MADMean absolute deviation69.886
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0114
SAESum of the absolute errors4193.16
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting LTIMindtree Limited forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent LTIMindtree observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for LTIMindtree

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LTIMindtree Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,1716,1726,174
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6,0476,0496,790
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
5,6335,9616,288
Details

Other Forecasting Options for LTIMindtree

For every potential investor in LTIMindtree, whether a beginner or expert, LTIMindtree's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LTIMindtree Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LTIMindtree. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LTIMindtree's price trends.

LTIMindtree Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LTIMindtree stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LTIMindtree could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LTIMindtree by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LTIMindtree Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LTIMindtree's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LTIMindtree's current price.

LTIMindtree Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LTIMindtree stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LTIMindtree shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LTIMindtree stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LTIMindtree Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LTIMindtree Risk Indicators

The analysis of LTIMindtree's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LTIMindtree's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ltimindtree stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for LTIMindtree Stock Analysis

When running LTIMindtree's price analysis, check to measure LTIMindtree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LTIMindtree is operating at the current time. Most of LTIMindtree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LTIMindtree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LTIMindtree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LTIMindtree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.