Lucara Diamond Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| LUC Stock | SEK 3.70 0.05 1.33% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lucara Diamond Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.65. Lucara Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Lucara Diamond 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lucara Diamond Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 3.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lucara Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lucara Diamond's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lucara Diamond Stock Forecast Pattern
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Lucara Diamond Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lucara Diamond's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lucara Diamond's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.14 and 7.29, respectively. We have considered Lucara Diamond's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lucara Diamond stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lucara Diamond stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.3639 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0237 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1166 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0326 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.645 |
Predictive Modules for Lucara Diamond
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lucara Diamond Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Lucara Diamond
For every potential investor in Lucara, whether a beginner or expert, Lucara Diamond's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lucara Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lucara. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lucara Diamond's price trends.Lucara Diamond Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lucara Diamond stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lucara Diamond could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lucara Diamond by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lucara Diamond Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lucara Diamond's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lucara Diamond's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lucara Diamond Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lucara Diamond stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lucara Diamond shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lucara Diamond stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lucara Diamond Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2559.68 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.56) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.68 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.68 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) |
Lucara Diamond Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lucara Diamond's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lucara Diamond's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lucara stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.61 | |||
| Variance | 13.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.25 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.07 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Lucara Stock Analysis
When running Lucara Diamond's price analysis, check to measure Lucara Diamond's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lucara Diamond is operating at the current time. Most of Lucara Diamond's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lucara Diamond's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lucara Diamond's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lucara Diamond to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.