Las Vegas Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| LVS Stock | USD 60.88 0.93 1.55% |
Las Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Las Vegas' share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Las Vegas, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.619 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.66 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.9329 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.2183 | Wall Street Target Price 69.4974 |
Using Las Vegas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Las Vegas Sands from the perspective of Las Vegas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Las Vegas using Las Vegas' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Las using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Las Vegas' stock price.
Las Vegas Short Interest
An investor who is long Las Vegas may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Las Vegas and may potentially protect profits, hedge Las Vegas with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 52.1577 | Short Percent 0.0379 | Short Ratio 2.54 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.9 M | 50 Day MA 64.6822 |
Las Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Las Vegas Sands on the next trading day is expected to be 61.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.76.Las Vegas Sands Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Las Vegas' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Las. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Las can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Las Vegas Sands. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Las Vegas' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Las Vegas.
Las Vegas Implied Volatility | 0.36 |
Las Vegas' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Las Vegas Sands stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Las Vegas' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Las Vegas stock will not fluctuate a lot when Las Vegas' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Las Vegas Sands on the next trading day is expected to be 61.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.76.
Las Vegas after-hype prediction price | USD 60.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Las Vegas to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Las contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Las Vegas Sands will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0225% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Las Vegas trading at USD 60.88, that is roughly USD 0.0137 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Las Vegas' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Las Vegas Sands options at the current volatility level of 0.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Las Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Las Vegas' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Las Vegas' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Las Vegas stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Las Vegas' open interest, investors have to compare it to Las Vegas' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Las Vegas is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Las. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Las Vegas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Las price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Las using various technical indicators. When you analyze Las charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Las Vegas' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2002-12-31 | Previous Quarter 3.5 B | Current Value 3.5 B | Quarterly Volatility 1.6 B |
Las Vegas Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Las Vegas Sands on the next trading day is expected to be 61.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Las Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Las Vegas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Las Vegas Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Las Vegas | Las Vegas Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Las Vegas Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Las Vegas' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Las Vegas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 60.00 and 63.14, respectively. We have considered Las Vegas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Las Vegas stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Las Vegas stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3145 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8649 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0135 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 52.7594 |
Predictive Modules for Las Vegas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Las Vegas Sands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Las Vegas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Las Vegas After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Las Vegas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Las Vegas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Las Vegas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Las Vegas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Las Vegas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Las Vegas' historical news coverage. Las Vegas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.31 and 62.45, respectively. We have considered Las Vegas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Las Vegas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Las Vegas Sands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Las Vegas Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Las Vegas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Las Vegas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Las Vegas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.57 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
60.88 | 60.88 | 0.00 |
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Las Vegas Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Las Vegas Sands is traded for 60.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Las is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Las Vegas is about 172.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.80. About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.83. Las Vegas Sands last dividend was issued on the 4th of November 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Las Vegas to cross-verify your projections.Las Vegas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Las Vegas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Las Vegas' future price movements. Getting to know how Las Vegas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Las Vegas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FLUT | Flutter Entertainment plc | (8.65) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.01 | (3.89) | 17.33 | |
| CPRT | Copart Inc | 0.93 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.22 | (3.52) | 6.88 | |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | (0.42) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.22 | (2.81) | 18.64 | |
| YUM | Yum Brands | (0.10) | 8 per month | 1.11 | (0.01) | 2.49 | (1.79) | 11.71 | |
| DHI | DR Horton | (3.88) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.73 | (3.36) | 11.16 | |
| EBAY | eBay Inc | 0.87 | 9 per month | 3.50 | (0.02) | 2.63 | (3.16) | 17.64 | |
| CCL | Carnival | (1.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.88 | (3.65) | 12.92 | |
| TCOM | Trip Group Ltd | (0.25) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.70 | (3.34) | 21.80 | |
| JD | JD Inc Adr | 0.83 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.89 | (2.77) | 7.60 | |
| CUK | Carnival Plc ADS | 2.58 | 11 per month | 2.34 | 0.03 | 3.53 | (3.21) | 20.84 |
Other Forecasting Options for Las Vegas
For every potential investor in Las, whether a beginner or expert, Las Vegas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Las Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Las. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Las Vegas' price trends.Las Vegas Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Las Vegas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Las Vegas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Las Vegas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Las Vegas Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Las Vegas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Las Vegas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Las Vegas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Las Vegas Sands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Las Vegas Risk Indicators
The analysis of Las Vegas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Las Vegas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting las stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Variance | 4.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Las Vegas
The number of cover stories for Las Vegas depends on current market conditions and Las Vegas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Las Vegas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Las Vegas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Las Vegas Short Properties
Las Vegas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Las Vegas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Las Vegas Sands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Las Vegas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Las Vegas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 737 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B |
Additional Tools for Las Stock Analysis
When running Las Vegas' price analysis, check to measure Las Vegas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Las Vegas is operating at the current time. Most of Las Vegas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Las Vegas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Las Vegas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Las Vegas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.