Lifeway Foods Stock Forward View

Lifeway Foods Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lifeway price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lifeway using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lifeway charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Lifeway Foods is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Lifeway Foods value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Lifeway Foods Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Lifeway Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 21.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.54.

Lifeway Foods Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lifeway Foods Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Lifeway Foods Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lifeway Foods stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lifeway Foods stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Lifeway Foods. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Lifeway Foods. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Lifeway Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lifeway Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 19.74 21.67 23.60 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 20.60 22.53 24.46 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 21.16 22.38 23.60 Details

1 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 31.85 35.00 38.85 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lifeway Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lifeway Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lifeway Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lifeway Foods.

Lifeway Foods After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Lifeway Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Lifeway Foods Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Lifeway Foods Hype Timeline

Lifeway Foods is now traded for 21.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Lifeway is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lifeway Foods is about 707.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.72. About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Lifeway Foods was now reported as 5.44. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of May 2013. Lifeway Foods had 2:1 split on the 16th of August 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lifeway Foods to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Lifeway Stock please use our How to Invest in Lifeway Foods guide.

Lifeway Foods Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Lifeway Foods

For every potential investor in Lifeway, whether a beginner or expert, Lifeway Foods' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lifeway Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lifeway. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lifeway Foods' price trends.

Lifeway Foods Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Lifeway Foods Market Strength Events

Lifeway Foods Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Lifeway Foods

Lifeway Foods Short Properties

Additional Tools for Lifeway Stock Analysis