Lsb Industries Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| LXU Stock | USD 9.29 0.28 2.93% |
Lsb Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Lsb Industries' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1848 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.4297 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3955 | Wall Street Target Price 11.15 |
Using Lsb Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lsb Industries from the perspective of Lsb Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lsb Industries using Lsb Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lsb using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lsb Industries' stock price.
Lsb Industries Short Interest
An investor who is long Lsb Industries may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lsb Industries and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lsb Industries with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 8.2055 | Short Percent 0.0269 | Short Ratio 3.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 9.0534 |
Lsb Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lsb Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 9.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.12.Lsb Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lsb Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lsb. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lsb can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lsb Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lsb Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lsb Industries.
Lsb Industries Implied Volatility | 1.43 |
Lsb Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lsb Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lsb Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lsb Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lsb Industries' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lsb Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 9.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.12. Lsb Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 9.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lsb Industries to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lsb contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lsb Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0894% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Lsb Industries trading at USD 9.29, that is roughly USD 0.008303 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lsb Industries' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lsb Industries options at the current volatility level of 1.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Lsb Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lsb Industries' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lsb Industries' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lsb Industries stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lsb Industries' open interest, investors have to compare it to Lsb Industries' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lsb Industries is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lsb. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Lsb Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lsb price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lsb using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lsb charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lsb Industries Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lsb Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 9.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lsb Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lsb Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lsb Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lsb Industries | Lsb Industries Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Lsb Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lsb Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lsb Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.61 and 11.97, respectively. We have considered Lsb Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lsb Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lsb Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9715 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0248 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2223 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0241 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.115 |
Predictive Modules for Lsb Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lsb Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lsb Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lsb Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lsb Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lsb Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lsb Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lsb Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lsb Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lsb Industries' historical news coverage. Lsb Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.59 and 11.99, respectively. We have considered Lsb Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lsb Industries is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lsb Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lsb Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lsb Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lsb Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lsb Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.68 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.29 | 9.29 | 0.00 |
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Lsb Industries Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Lsb Industries is traded for 9.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Lsb is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lsb Industries is about 268000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.29. About 26.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.36. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lsb Industries recorded a loss per share of 0.01. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 1998. The firm had 13:10 split on the 12th of October 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lsb Industries to cross-verify your projections.Lsb Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lsb Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lsb Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Lsb Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lsb Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WLKP | Westlake Chemical Partners | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.98 | 0.1 | 2.12 | (1.67) | 8.30 | |
| TROX | Tronox Holdings PLC | 0.20 | 11 per month | 3.01 | 0.15 | 9.38 | (5.51) | 30.74 | |
| ASIX | AdvanSix | (0.09) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.89 | (4.88) | 16.84 | |
| LWLG | Lightwave Logic | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 9.03 | (9.16) | 31.90 | |
| KOP | Koppers Holdings | (0.20) | 10 per month | 1.84 | (0.01) | 3.56 | (3.71) | 8.65 | |
| GEVO | Gevo Inc | (0.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.22 | (5.66) | 16.09 | |
| KRO | Kronos Worldwide | 0.04 | 7 per month | 2.70 | 0.04 | 5.58 | (4.70) | 12.10 | |
| GROY | Gold Royalty Corp | 0.05 | 8 per month | 3.80 | 0.08 | 5.70 | (6.49) | 19.48 | |
| GAU | Galiano Gold | 0.03 | 7 per month | 4.51 | 0.04 | 6.97 | (6.82) | 17.52 | |
| SGML | Sigma Lithium Resources | 0.04 | 32 per month | 7.26 | 0.14 | 15.91 | (14.10) | 48.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lsb Industries
For every potential investor in Lsb, whether a beginner or expert, Lsb Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lsb Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lsb. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lsb Industries' price trends.Lsb Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lsb Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lsb Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lsb Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lsb Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lsb Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lsb Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lsb Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lsb Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lsb Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lsb Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lsb Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lsb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.91 | |||
| Variance | 8.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lsb Industries
The number of cover stories for Lsb Industries depends on current market conditions and Lsb Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lsb Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lsb Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lsb Industries Short Properties
Lsb Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Lsb Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lsb Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lsb Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lsb Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 184.2 M |
Additional Tools for Lsb Stock Analysis
When running Lsb Industries' price analysis, check to measure Lsb Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lsb Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Lsb Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lsb Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lsb Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lsb Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.