Lightwave Logic Stock Price Prediction

LWLG Stock  USD 2.82  0.16  5.37%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Lightwave Logic's the stock price is roughly 63. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 26th of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lightwave, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lightwave Logic's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lightwave Logic and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lightwave Logic's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lightwave Logic, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lightwave Logic's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
2.71
Using Lightwave Logic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lightwave Logic from the perspective of Lightwave Logic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lightwave Logic to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lightwave because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lightwave Logic after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lightwave Logic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Lightwave Stock please use our How to Invest in Lightwave Logic guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.678.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.798.29
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
2.472.713.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.353.123.89
Details

Lightwave Logic After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lightwave Logic at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lightwave Logic or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lightwave Logic, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lightwave Logic Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lightwave Logic's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lightwave Logic's historical news coverage. Lightwave Logic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 8.46, respectively. We have considered Lightwave Logic's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.82
2.96
After-hype Price
8.46
Upside
Lightwave Logic is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lightwave Logic is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lightwave Logic Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lightwave Logic is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lightwave Logic backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lightwave Logic, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
5.58
  0.01 
  0.07 
4 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.82
2.96
0.67 
5,580  
Notes

Lightwave Logic Hype Timeline

Lightwave Logic is now traded for 2.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Lightwave is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Lightwave Logic is about 1124.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.75. About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.18. Lightwave Logic had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Lightwave Logic Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Lightwave Stock please use our How to Invest in Lightwave Logic guide.

Lightwave Logic Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lightwave Logic's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lightwave Logic's future price movements. Getting to know how Lightwave Logic's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lightwave Logic may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FULH B Fuller(0.62)9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.76 (2.51) 8.58 
ESIElement Solutions 0.09 11 per month 1.30  0.05  3.77 (1.95) 11.06 
IOSPInnospec 3.95 7 per month 1.31  0  2.24 (2.10) 16.32 
CBTCabot(2.30)12 per month 1.28  0.01  2.82 (1.75) 10.88 
MTXMinerals Technologies(0.15)8 per month 1.30  0.03  2.94 (2.51) 11.90 
OECOrion Engineered Carbons 0.34 9 per month 2.56 (0.01) 5.81 (3.84) 15.71 
NGVTIngevity Corp 1.73 7 per month 2.79  0.09  8.28 (3.76) 21.33 
HWKNHawkins 0.55 10 per month 2.48  0  3.27 (3.65) 12.56 
ECVTEcovyst 0.11 7 per month 1.56  0.08  4.55 (3.08) 17.08 
KWRQuaker Chemical(10.72)7 per month 1.84 (0.03) 2.37 (2.62) 18.04 
KROKronos Worldwide(0.22)8 per month 1.73 (0.03) 3.81 (2.79) 13.09 
TSETrinseo SA(0.20)9 per month 6.09 (0.01) 14.66 (12.30) 33.11 
NEUNewMarket 0.99 11 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.47 (1.93) 10.57 

Lightwave Logic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lightwave price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lightwave using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lightwave charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lightwave Logic Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lightwave Logic stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lightwave Logic, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lightwave Logic based on analysis of Lightwave Logic hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lightwave Logic's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lightwave Logic's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding282.71251.3
PTB Ratio15.7814.99

Story Coverage note for Lightwave Logic

The number of cover stories for Lightwave Logic depends on current market conditions and Lightwave Logic's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lightwave Logic is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lightwave Logic's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lightwave Logic Short Properties

Lightwave Logic's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lightwave Logic's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lightwave Logic often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lightwave Logic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lightwave Logic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding115.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments31.4 M

Complementary Tools for Lightwave Stock analysis

When running Lightwave Logic's price analysis, check to measure Lightwave Logic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lightwave Logic is operating at the current time. Most of Lightwave Logic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lightwave Logic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lightwave Logic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lightwave Logic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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