MAGC Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MAGC Etf | 23.51 0.27 1.16% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MAGC on the next trading day is expected to be 23.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.86. MAGC Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast MAGC stock prices and determine the direction of MAGC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MAGC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength momentum indicator of MAGC's share price is approaching 42. This indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling MAGC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 42
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MAGC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MAGC from the perspective of MAGC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MAGC using MAGC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MAGC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MAGC's stock price.
MAGC Implied Volatility | 0.47 |
MAGC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MAGC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MAGC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MAGC stock will not fluctuate a lot when MAGC's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MAGC on the next trading day is expected to be 23.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.86. MAGC after-hype prediction price | USD 23.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out fundamental analysis of MAGC to check your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MAGC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MAGC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With MAGC trading at USD 23.51, that is roughly USD 0.006906 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MAGC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MAGC options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 MAGC Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MAGC's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MAGC's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MAGC stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MAGC's open interest, investors have to compare it to MAGC's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MAGC is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MAGC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
MAGC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MAGC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MAGC using various technical indicators. When you analyze MAGC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MAGC Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MAGC on the next trading day is expected to be 23.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MAGC Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MAGC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MAGC Etf Forecast Pattern
MAGC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MAGC's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MAGC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.03 and 24.99, respectively. We have considered MAGC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MAGC etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MAGC etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.2531 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0463 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.281 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0115 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.86 |
Predictive Modules for MAGC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MAGC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MAGC Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of MAGC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MAGC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of MAGC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MAGC Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as MAGC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MAGC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MAGC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.48 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.51 | 23.51 | 0.00 |
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MAGC Hype Timeline
MAGC is now traded for 23.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.07. MAGC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on MAGC is about 395.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.58. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out fundamental analysis of MAGC to check your projections.MAGC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MAGC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MAGC's future price movements. Getting to know how MAGC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MAGC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DIVB | iShares Dividend and | 0.68 | 4 per month | 0.59 | (0.01) | 1.28 | (1.14) | 3.38 | |
| GK | AdvisorShares Gerber Kawasaki | 0.19 | 4 per month | 1.18 | (0.1) | 1.15 | (2.18) | 5.15 | |
| MEME | Roundhill ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 8.55 | (7.98) | 20.71 | |
| MEMY | Tuttle Capital Meme | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| METV | Roundhill Ball Metaverse | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.29 | (2.95) | 7.13 | |
| DMAT | Global X Disruptive | 2.07 | 3 per month | 1.57 | 0.22 | 3.08 | (2.96) | 7.36 | |
| DMCY | Democracy International | 0.05 | 1 per month | 0.54 | 0.03 | 1.11 | (1.12) | 2.87 | |
| DMXF | iShares ESG Advanced | (0.32) | 10 per month | 0.78 | (0.04) | 1.17 | (1.31) | 3.41 | |
| MILN | Global X Millennials | 0.70 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.56 | (2.33) | 3.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for MAGC
For every potential investor in MAGC, whether a beginner or expert, MAGC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MAGC Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MAGC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MAGC's price trends.MAGC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MAGC etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MAGC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MAGC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MAGC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MAGC etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MAGC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MAGC etf market strength indicators, traders can identify MAGC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MAGC Risk Indicators
The analysis of MAGC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MAGC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting magc etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Variance | 2.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for MAGC
The number of cover stories for MAGC depends on current market conditions and MAGC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MAGC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MAGC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out fundamental analysis of MAGC to check your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
The market value of MAGC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MAGC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MAGC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MAGC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MAGC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MAGC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MAGC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MAGC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MAGC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.