Main Street Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| MAIN Stock | USD 64.05 0.12 0.19% |
Main Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Main Street's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Main Street's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Main Street fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Main Street's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9855 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.9447 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.9485 | Wall Street Target Price 62.8571 |
Using Main Street hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Main Street Capital from the perspective of Main Street response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Main Street using Main Street's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Main using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Main Street's stock price.
Main Street Short Interest
An investor who is long Main Street may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Main Street and may potentially protect profits, hedge Main Street with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 59.9399 | Short Percent 0.0688 | Short Ratio 10.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.3 M | 50 Day MA 60.1674 |
Main Street Capital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Main Street's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Main. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Main can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Main Street Capital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Main Street Implied Volatility | 0.19 |
Main Street's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Main Street Capital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Main Street's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Main Street stock will not fluctuate a lot when Main Street's options are near their expiration.
Main Street after-hype prediction price | USD 64.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Main Street to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Main contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Main Street Capital will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0119% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Main Street trading at USD 64.05, that is roughly USD 0.007606 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Main Street's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Main Street Capital options at the current volatility level of 0.19%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Main Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Main Street's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Main Street's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Main Street stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Main Street's open interest, investors have to compare it to Main Street's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Main Street is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Main. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Main Street Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Main price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Main using various technical indicators. When you analyze Main charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 3395.1 | 4181.4 |
| Check Main Street Volatility | Backtest Main Street | Information Ratio |
Main Street Trading Date Momentum
| On January 23 2026 Main Street Capital was traded for 64.05 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 64.50 and the lowest listed price was 63.82 . The trading volume for the day was 396.6 K. The trading history from January 23, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 0.58% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Main Street to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Main Street
For every potential investor in Main, whether a beginner or expert, Main Street's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Main Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Main. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Main Street's price trends.Main Street Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Main Street stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Main Street could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Main Street by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Main Street Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Main Street stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Main Street shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Main Street stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Main Street Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4181.4 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.18) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 64.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 64.12 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.17) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) |
Main Street Risk Indicators
The analysis of Main Street's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Main Street's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting main stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9977 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9258 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8572 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Main Street
The number of cover stories for Main Street depends on current market conditions and Main Street's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Main Street is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Main Street's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Main Street Short Properties
Main Street's future price predictability will typically decrease when Main Street's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Main Street Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Main Street's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Main Street's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 88.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 78.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Main Street to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Main Street. If investors know Main will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Main Street listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 3 | Earnings Share 6.03 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.022 |
The market value of Main Street Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Main that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Main Street's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Main Street's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Main Street's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Main Street's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Main Street's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Main Street is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Main Street's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.