Mamas Creations Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MAMA Stock | 15.17 0.41 2.78% |
Mamas Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mamas Creations stock prices and determine the direction of Mamas Creations's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mamas Creations' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Mamas Creations' stock price is about 66. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mamas, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mamas Creations hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mamas Creations from the perspective of Mamas Creations response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mamas Creations on the next trading day is expected to be 15.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.59. Mamas Creations after-hype prediction price | USD 15.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mamas Creations to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Mamas Stock refer to our How to Trade Mamas Stock guide.Mamas Creations Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mamas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mamas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mamas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mamas Creations Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Mamas Creations on the next trading day is expected to be 15.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.59.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mamas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mamas Creations' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mamas Creations Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mamas Creations | Mamas Creations Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Mamas Creations Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mamas Creations' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mamas Creations' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.84 and 19.44, respectively. We have considered Mamas Creations' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mamas Creations stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mamas Creations stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8408 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1006 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2598 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0201 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.5903 |
Predictive Modules for Mamas Creations
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mamas Creations. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mamas Creations After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mamas Creations at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mamas Creations or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mamas Creations, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mamas Creations Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mamas Creations' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mamas Creations' historical news coverage. Mamas Creations' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.87 and 19.47, respectively. We have considered Mamas Creations' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mamas Creations is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mamas Creations is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mamas Creations Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mamas Creations is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mamas Creations backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mamas Creations, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.65 | 4.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.17 | 15.17 | 0.00 |
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Mamas Creations Hype Timeline
Mamas Creations is now traded for 15.17. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mamas is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.65%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mamas Creations is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.17. About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mamas Creations to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Mamas Stock refer to our How to Trade Mamas Stock guide.Mamas Creations Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mamas Creations' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mamas Creations' future price movements. Getting to know how Mamas Creations' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mamas Creations may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USNA | USANA Health Sciences | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | (0) | 3.78 | (2.97) | 8.95 | |
| WEST | Westrock Coffee | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.36 | 0.03 | 8.01 | (6.44) | 18.25 | |
| LWAY | Lifeway Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.81 | (3.01) | 10.60 | |
| CVGW | Calavo Growers | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.07 | 2.72 | (3.27) | 16.73 | |
| BGS | BG Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.19 | 0.05 | 3.75 | (3.36) | 31.62 | |
| VSTA | Vasta Platform | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.50 | (0.03) | 1.42 | (1.61) | 11.44 | |
| QSG | QuantaSing Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 6.26 | (6.49) | 15.16 | |
| DDL | Dingdong Limited ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.91 | 0.17 | 8.38 | (6.16) | 31.13 | |
| BRCC | BRC Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 4.96 | (6.82) | 14.84 | |
| LND | Brasilagro Adr | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0.09 | 2.71 | (2.19) | 6.54 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mamas Creations
For every potential investor in Mamas, whether a beginner or expert, Mamas Creations' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mamas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mamas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mamas Creations' price trends.Mamas Creations Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mamas Creations stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mamas Creations could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mamas Creations by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mamas Creations Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mamas Creations stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mamas Creations shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mamas Creations stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mamas Creations entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mamas Creations Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mamas Creations' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mamas Creations' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mamas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.3 | |||
| Variance | 18.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.84 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.82 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.70) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mamas Creations
The number of cover stories for Mamas Creations depends on current market conditions and Mamas Creations' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mamas Creations is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mamas Creations' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mamas Creations Short Properties
Mamas Creations' future price predictability will typically decrease when Mamas Creations' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mamas Creations often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mamas Creations' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mamas Creations' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mamas Creations to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Mamas Stock refer to our How to Trade Mamas Stock guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mamas Creations. Expected growth trajectory for Mamas significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Mamas Creations assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Mamas Creations's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Mamas's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Mamas Creations' intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Mamas Creations' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Mamas Creations' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mamas Creations represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Mamas Creations' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.