Manhattan Associates Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MANH Stock  USD 175.64  1.94  1.12%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Manhattan Associates on the next trading day is expected to be 178.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 141.62. Manhattan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Manhattan Associates' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 11th of January 2026 the relative strength indicator of Manhattan Associates' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Manhattan Associates' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Manhattan Associates, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Manhattan Associates' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.1475
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.9764
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.3349
Wall Street Target Price
220.3637
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.1872
Using Manhattan Associates hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Manhattan Associates from the perspective of Manhattan Associates response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Manhattan Associates using Manhattan Associates' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Manhattan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Manhattan Associates' stock price.

Manhattan Associates Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Manhattan Associates' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Manhattan. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Manhattan Associates stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
191.0699
Short Percent
0.0464
Short Ratio
4.21
Shares Short Prior Month
2.1 M
50 Day MA
175.3932

Manhattan Associates Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Manhattan Associates' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Manhattan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Manhattan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Manhattan Associates. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Manhattan Associates' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Manhattan Associates.

Manhattan Associates Implied Volatility

    
  0.41  
Manhattan Associates' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Manhattan Associates stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Manhattan Associates' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Manhattan Associates stock will not fluctuate a lot when Manhattan Associates' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Manhattan Associates on the next trading day is expected to be 178.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 141.62.

Manhattan Associates after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 175.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Manhattan Associates to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Manhattan Stock please use our How to Invest in Manhattan Associates guide.The Manhattan Associates' current Fixed Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 15.91, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 21.03. . The Manhattan Associates' current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 71.8 M. The Manhattan Associates' current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 155.7 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Manhattan Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Manhattan Associates' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Manhattan Associates' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Manhattan Associates stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Manhattan Associates' open interest, investors have to compare it to Manhattan Associates' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Manhattan Associates is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Manhattan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Manhattan Associates Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Manhattan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Manhattan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Manhattan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Manhattan Associates Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Manhattan Associates' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1997-12-31
Previous Quarter
230.6 M
Current Value
263.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
64.8 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Manhattan Associates is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Manhattan Associates value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Manhattan Associates Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Manhattan Associates on the next trading day is expected to be 178.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.32, mean absolute percentage error of 8.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 141.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Manhattan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Manhattan Associates' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Manhattan Associates Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Manhattan AssociatesManhattan Associates Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Manhattan Associates Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Manhattan Associates' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Manhattan Associates' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 176.54 and 179.87, respectively. We have considered Manhattan Associates' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
175.64
176.54
Downside
178.21
Expected Value
179.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Manhattan Associates stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Manhattan Associates stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.271
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.3216
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.013
SAESum of the absolute errors141.6158
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Manhattan Associates. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Manhattan Associates. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Manhattan Associates

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Manhattan Associates. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
174.16175.84177.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
175.25176.93178.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
168.06174.33180.60
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
200.53220.36244.60
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Manhattan Associates

For every potential investor in Manhattan, whether a beginner or expert, Manhattan Associates' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Manhattan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Manhattan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Manhattan Associates' price trends.

Manhattan Associates Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Manhattan Associates stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Manhattan Associates could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Manhattan Associates by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Manhattan Associates Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Manhattan Associates' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Manhattan Associates' current price.

Manhattan Associates Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Manhattan Associates stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Manhattan Associates shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Manhattan Associates stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Manhattan Associates entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Manhattan Associates Risk Indicators

The analysis of Manhattan Associates' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Manhattan Associates' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting manhattan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Manhattan Associates offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Manhattan Associates' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Manhattan Associates Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Manhattan Associates Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Manhattan Associates to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Manhattan Stock please use our How to Invest in Manhattan Associates guide.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Manhattan Associates. If investors know Manhattan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Manhattan Associates listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
3.51
Revenue Per Share
17.571
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.166
Return On Assets
0.2355
Return On Equity
0.7358
The market value of Manhattan Associates is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Manhattan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Manhattan Associates' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Manhattan Associates' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Manhattan Associates' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Manhattan Associates' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Manhattan Associates' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Manhattan Associates is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Manhattan Associates' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.