Marine Petroleum Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| MARPS Stock | USD 4.62 0.17 3.55% |
Marine Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of relative strength index of Marine Petroleum's share price is at 52. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Marine Petroleum, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.26) |
Using Marine Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marine Petroleum Trust from the perspective of Marine Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Marine Petroleum Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 4.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.90. Marine Petroleum after-hype prediction price | USD 4.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marine Petroleum to cross-verify your projections. Marine Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Marine price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marine using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marine charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Marine Petroleum Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Marine Petroleum Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 4.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Marine Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Marine Petroleum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Marine Petroleum Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Marine Petroleum | Marine Petroleum Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Marine Petroleum Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Marine Petroleum's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Marine Petroleum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.70 and 8.25, respectively. We have considered Marine Petroleum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Marine Petroleum stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Marine Petroleum stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3442 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1274 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0289 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.8982 |
Predictive Modules for Marine Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marine Petroleum Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Marine Petroleum After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Marine Petroleum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marine Petroleum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marine Petroleum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Marine Petroleum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Marine Petroleum's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marine Petroleum's historical news coverage. Marine Petroleum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.05 and 8.53, respectively. We have considered Marine Petroleum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Marine Petroleum is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marine Petroleum Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Marine Petroleum Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marine Petroleum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marine Petroleum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marine Petroleum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 3.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.62 | 4.79 | 0.00 |
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Marine Petroleum Hype Timeline
Marine Petroleum Trust is now traded for 4.62. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Marine is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Marine Petroleum is about 7890.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.62. About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Marine Petroleum to cross-verify your projections.Marine Petroleum Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Marine Petroleum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marine Petroleum's future price movements. Getting to know how Marine Petroleum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marine Petroleum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GLOP-PB | GasLog Partners LP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | (0.03) | 1.34 | (0.70) | 5.58 | |
| DLNG | Dynagas LNG Partners | 0.04 | 9 per month | 1.35 | 0.06 | 2.56 | (2.98) | 9.76 | |
| BANL | CBL International Limited | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.65 | (5.71) | 23.38 | |
| IMPPP | Imperial Petroleum Preferred | (0.26) | 25 per month | 0.65 | (0.01) | 1.15 | (1.22) | 6.53 | |
| MTR | Mesa Royalty Trust | (0.07) | 5 per month | 2.86 | 0.03 | 6.19 | (5.38) | 17.46 | |
| NRT | North European Oil | (0.01) | 10 per month | 2.70 | 0.22 | 7.60 | (4.38) | 22.09 | |
| CRT | Cross Timbers Royalty | (0.13) | 8 per month | 1.98 | 0.07 | 4.59 | (4.00) | 12.64 | |
| INDO | Indonesia Energy | (0.03) | 6 per month | 3.58 | 0.15 | 10.28 | (5.06) | 29.54 | |
| MXC | Mexco Energy | 0.02 | 6 per month | 3.43 | 0.08 | 7.03 | (7.22) | 16.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for Marine Petroleum
For every potential investor in Marine, whether a beginner or expert, Marine Petroleum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marine Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marine. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marine Petroleum's price trends.Marine Petroleum Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marine Petroleum stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marine Petroleum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marine Petroleum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Marine Petroleum Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marine Petroleum stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marine Petroleum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marine Petroleum stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marine Petroleum Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Marine Petroleum Risk Indicators
The analysis of Marine Petroleum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marine Petroleum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marine stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Variance | 14.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Marine Petroleum
The number of cover stories for Marine Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Marine Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marine Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marine Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Marine Petroleum Short Properties
Marine Petroleum's future price predictability will typically decrease when Marine Petroleum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Marine Petroleum Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Marine Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marine Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.31 | |
| Shares Float | 1.3 M |
Additional Tools for Marine Stock Analysis
When running Marine Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Marine Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marine Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Marine Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marine Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marine Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marine Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.