Marshall Machines Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average | MARSHALL.NSE

Marshall Machines Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

MARSHALL   21.70  0.45  2.03%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Marshall Machines Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 23.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.25. Marshall Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Marshall Machines' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Marshall Machines' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Marshall Machines fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Marshall Machines' Other Current Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Other Stockholder Equity is expected to rise to about 547.3 M this year, although the value of Short and Long Term Debt Total will most likely fall to about 369.9 M.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Marshall Machines Limited is based on a synthetically constructed Marshall Machinesdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Marshall Machines 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Marshall Machines Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 23.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.57, mean absolute percentage error of 11.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Marshall Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Marshall Machines' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Marshall Machines Stock Forecast Pattern

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Marshall Machines Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Marshall Machines' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Marshall Machines' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.60 and 27.15, respectively. We have considered Marshall Machines' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.70
23.87
Expected Value
27.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Marshall Machines stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Marshall Machines stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria83.8353
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.4457
MADMean absolute deviation2.5671
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1068
SAESum of the absolute errors105.251
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Marshall Machines 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Marshall Machines

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marshall Machines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.6520.9224.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9618.2323.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
21.0423.8726.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Marshall Machines. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Marshall Machines' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Marshall Machines' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Marshall Machines.

Other Forecasting Options for Marshall Machines

For every potential investor in Marshall, whether a beginner or expert, Marshall Machines' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Marshall Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Marshall. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Marshall Machines' price trends.

Marshall Machines Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Marshall Machines stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Marshall Machines could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marshall Machines by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Marshall Machines Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Marshall Machines' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Marshall Machines' current price.

Marshall Machines Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Marshall Machines stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Marshall Machines shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Marshall Machines stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Marshall Machines Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Marshall Machines Risk Indicators

The analysis of Marshall Machines' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Marshall Machines' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting marshall stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Marshall Stock

Marshall Machines financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marshall Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marshall with respect to the benefits of owning Marshall Machines security.