Masoval AS Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| MAS Stock | 23.90 0.20 0.83% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Masoval AS on the next trading day is expected to be 23.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.01. Masoval Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Masoval AS's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Masoval AS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Masoval AS from the perspective of Masoval AS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Masoval AS on the next trading day is expected to be 23.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.01. Masoval AS after-hype prediction price | NOK 23.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Masoval |
Masoval AS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Masoval price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Masoval using various technical indicators. When you analyze Masoval charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Masoval AS Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Masoval AS on the next trading day is expected to be 23.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Masoval Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Masoval AS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Masoval AS Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Masoval AS | Masoval AS Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Masoval AS Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Masoval AS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Masoval AS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.00 and 26.58, respectively. We have considered Masoval AS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Masoval AS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Masoval AS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1094 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5086 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.021 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.0085 |
Predictive Modules for Masoval AS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Masoval AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Masoval AS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Masoval AS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Masoval AS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Masoval AS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Masoval AS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Masoval AS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Masoval AS's historical news coverage. Masoval AS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.11 and 26.69, respectively. We have considered Masoval AS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Masoval AS is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Masoval AS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Masoval AS Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Masoval AS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Masoval AS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Masoval AS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.90 | 23.90 | 0.00 |
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Masoval AS Hype Timeline
Masoval AS is now traded for 23.90on Oslo Stock Exchange of Norway. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Masoval is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Masoval AS is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.90. About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.97. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Masoval AS last dividend was issued on the 6th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Masoval AS to cross-verify your projections.Masoval AS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Masoval AS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Masoval AS's future price movements. Getting to know how Masoval AS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Masoval AS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ANDF | Andfjord Salmon AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | 0.02 | 5.02 | (2.96) | 12.22 | |
| ISLAX | Icelandic Salmon As | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.66 | (4.26) | 11.41 | |
| SALME | Salmon Evolution Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.64 | (2.12) | 6.83 | |
| AFISH | Arctic Fish Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.33 | (9.71) | 30.95 | |
| NOHAL | Nordic Halibut AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | 0.02 | 4.04 | (1.98) | 17.26 | |
| GIGA | Gigante Salmon AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.39 | (2.33) | 13.13 | |
| NCOD | Norcod As | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.19 | (5.11) | 16.33 | |
| ASA | Atlantic Sapphire As | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.28 | (4.69) | 15.37 | |
| BARRA | Barramundi Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 13.95 | (16.67) | 54.29 | |
| LUMI | Lumi Gruppen AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.01 | 3.70 | (3.11) | 10.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Masoval AS
For every potential investor in Masoval, whether a beginner or expert, Masoval AS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Masoval Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Masoval. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Masoval AS's price trends.Masoval AS Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Masoval AS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Masoval AS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Masoval AS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Masoval AS Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Masoval AS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Masoval AS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Masoval AS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Masoval AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Masoval AS Risk Indicators
The analysis of Masoval AS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Masoval AS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting masoval stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Variance | 7.37 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Masoval AS
The number of cover stories for Masoval AS depends on current market conditions and Masoval AS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Masoval AS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Masoval AS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Masoval Stock
Masoval AS financial ratios help investors to determine whether Masoval Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Masoval with respect to the benefits of owning Masoval AS security.