Maxeon Solar Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

MAXN Stock  USD 2.79  0.18  6.90%   
Maxeon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Maxeon Solar's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Maxeon Solar's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Maxeon Solar fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Maxeon Solar's share price is approaching 41. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Maxeon Solar, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 41

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Maxeon Solar's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Maxeon Solar Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Maxeon Solar's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
20
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.89)
Using Maxeon Solar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Maxeon Solar Technologies from the perspective of Maxeon Solar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Maxeon Solar using Maxeon Solar's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Maxeon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Maxeon Solar's stock price.

Maxeon Solar Implied Volatility

    
  1.59  
Maxeon Solar's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Maxeon Solar Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Maxeon Solar's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Maxeon Solar stock will not fluctuate a lot when Maxeon Solar's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Maxeon Solar Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 2.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.29.

Maxeon Solar after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.72  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Maxeon Solar to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Maxeon Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Maxeon Solar's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Maxeon Solar's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Maxeon Solar stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Maxeon Solar's open interest, investors have to compare it to Maxeon Solar's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Maxeon Solar is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Maxeon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Maxeon Solar Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Maxeon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Maxeon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Maxeon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Maxeon Solar price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Maxeon Solar Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Maxeon Solar Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 2.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Maxeon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Maxeon Solar's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Maxeon Solar Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Maxeon Solar  Maxeon Solar Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Maxeon Solar Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Maxeon Solar's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Maxeon Solar's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.79, respectively. We have considered Maxeon Solar's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.79
2.83
Expected Value
6.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Maxeon Solar stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Maxeon Solar stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0897
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.185
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0604
SAESum of the absolute errors11.2879
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Maxeon Solar Technologies historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Maxeon Solar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maxeon Solar Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Maxeon Solar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.726.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.517.0611.02
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.2020.0022.20
Details

Maxeon Solar After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Maxeon Solar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Maxeon Solar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Maxeon Solar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Maxeon Solar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Maxeon Solar's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Maxeon Solar's historical news coverage. Maxeon Solar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.14 and 6.68, respectively. We have considered Maxeon Solar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.79
2.72
After-hype Price
6.68
Upside
Maxeon Solar is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Maxeon Solar Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Maxeon Solar Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Maxeon Solar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Maxeon Solar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Maxeon Solar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.41 
3.96
  0.07 
  0.03 
7 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.79
2.72
2.51 
2,200  
Notes

Maxeon Solar Hype Timeline

Maxeon Solar Technologies is now traded for 2.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Maxeon is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.72. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.51%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Maxeon Solar is about 5210.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.76. About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.03. Maxeon Solar Technologies recorded earning per share (EPS) of 33.87. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:100 split on the 9th of October 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Maxeon Solar to cross-verify your projections.

Maxeon Solar Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Maxeon Solar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Maxeon Solar's future price movements. Getting to know how Maxeon Solar's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Maxeon Solar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BEEMBeam Global(0.1)10 per month 0.00 (0.17) 7.88 (7.61) 19.76 
SPRUSpruce Power Holding 0.01 10 per month 5.32  0.14  13.68 (7.19) 81.84 
VVPRVivoPower International PLC(0.36)9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 11.84 (12.62) 36.18 
SMXTSolarmax Technology Common 0.01 3 per month 5.53  0.0009  10.23 (10.20) 29.70 
ZEOZeo Energy Corp(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 7.56 (8.72) 24.78 
RCONRecon Technology(0.12)7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 6.11 (6.38) 18.11 
DWSNDawson Geophysical(0.03)9 per month 0.00 (0.02) 7.46 (5.56) 16.23 
SOLEmeren Group(0.01)24 per month 0.78  0.01  2.20 (1.16) 4.54 
DTIDrilling Tools International(0.17)10 per month 4.02  0.16  10.80 (7.35) 22.79 
PEDPEDEVCO Corp 0.02 9 per month 0.00 (0.02) 6.00 (7.27) 16.10 

Other Forecasting Options for Maxeon Solar

For every potential investor in Maxeon, whether a beginner or expert, Maxeon Solar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Maxeon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Maxeon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Maxeon Solar's price trends.

Maxeon Solar Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Maxeon Solar stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Maxeon Solar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Maxeon Solar by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Maxeon Solar Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Maxeon Solar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Maxeon Solar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Maxeon Solar stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Maxeon Solar Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Maxeon Solar Risk Indicators

The analysis of Maxeon Solar's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Maxeon Solar's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting maxeon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Maxeon Solar

The number of cover stories for Maxeon Solar depends on current market conditions and Maxeon Solar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Maxeon Solar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Maxeon Solar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Maxeon Solar Short Properties

Maxeon Solar's future price predictability will typically decrease when Maxeon Solar's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Maxeon Solar Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Maxeon Solar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maxeon Solar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments28.9 M
When determining whether Maxeon Solar Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Maxeon Solar's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Maxeon Solar Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Maxeon Solar Technologies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Maxeon Solar to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Maxeon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Maxeon Solar. Expected growth trajectory for Maxeon significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Maxeon Solar data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
33.87
Revenue Per Share
12.125
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.89)
Return On Assets
(0.52)
Return On Equity
(2.90)
The market value of Maxeon Solar Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Maxeon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Maxeon Solar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Maxeon Solar's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Maxeon Solar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Maxeon Solar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Maxeon Solar's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Maxeon Solar represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Maxeon Solar's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.