Mercedes Benz Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| MBGAF Stock | USD 69.87 1.26 1.84% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Mercedes Benz Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 69.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.55. Mercedes Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mercedes Benz's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Mercedes Benz's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Mercedes Benz hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mercedes Benz Group AG from the perspective of Mercedes Benz response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Mercedes Benz Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 69.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.55. Mercedes Benz after-hype prediction price | USD 69.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mercedes |
Mercedes Benz Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mercedes price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mercedes using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mercedes charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mercedes Benz Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Mercedes Benz Group AG on the next trading day is expected to be 69.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91, mean absolute percentage error of 1.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mercedes Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mercedes Benz's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mercedes Benz Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mercedes Benz | Mercedes Benz Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Mercedes Benz Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mercedes Benz's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mercedes Benz's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 68.25 and 71.49, respectively. We have considered Mercedes Benz's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mercedes Benz pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mercedes Benz pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.5531 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1801 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9092 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0133 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 54.555 |
Predictive Modules for Mercedes Benz
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mercedes Benz Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mercedes Benz After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mercedes Benz at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mercedes Benz or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Mercedes Benz, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mercedes Benz Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mercedes Benz's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mercedes Benz's historical news coverage. Mercedes Benz's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.32 and 71.56, respectively. We have considered Mercedes Benz's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mercedes Benz is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mercedes Benz Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mercedes Benz Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mercedes Benz is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mercedes Benz backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mercedes Benz, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.62 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 3 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
69.87 | 69.94 | 0.10 |
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Mercedes Benz Hype Timeline
Mercedes Benz Group is now traded for 69.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Mercedes is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 69.94 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Mercedes Benz is about 782.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.91. The company reported the revenue of 133.89 B. Net Income was 28.77 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 29.25 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mercedes Benz to cross-verify your projections.Mercedes Benz Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mercedes Benz's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mercedes Benz's future price movements. Getting to know how Mercedes Benz's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mercedes Benz may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BAMXF | Bayerische Motoren Werke | 0.39 | 15 per month | 1.83 | 0.05 | 4.86 | (4.58) | 14.89 | |
| BYMOF | Bayerische Motoren Werke | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.04 | |
| VWAGY | Volkswagen AG 110 | 0.39 | 13 per month | 1.28 | 0.05 | 2.87 | (2.43) | 6.25 | |
| VWAPY | Volkswagen AG Pref | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | 0.08 | 2.69 | (2.56) | 6.49 | |
| VLKAF | Volkswagen AG | 0.39 | 6 per month | 1.97 | 0.03 | 4.22 | (3.44) | 10.11 | |
| VLKPF | Volkswagen AG VZO | 0.39 | 19 per month | 1.77 | 0.04 | 3.92 | (3.32) | 11.77 | |
| DRPRF | Dr Ing hc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.81 | (0.04) | 3.32 | (4.48) | 15.07 | |
| HNDAF | Honda Motor Co | 0.39 | 3 per month | 2.84 | (0.01) | 7.72 | (6.04) | 20.53 | |
| DRPRY | Dr Ing hc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.88 | (0.04) | 3.71 | (2.98) | 9.35 | |
| MAHMF | Mahindra Mahindra Limited | 0.12 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 1.83 | (2.10) | 13.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mercedes Benz
For every potential investor in Mercedes, whether a beginner or expert, Mercedes Benz's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mercedes Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mercedes. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mercedes Benz's price trends.Mercedes Benz Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mercedes Benz pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mercedes Benz could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mercedes Benz by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mercedes Benz Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mercedes Benz pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mercedes Benz shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mercedes Benz pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Mercedes Benz Group AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mercedes Benz Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mercedes Benz's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mercedes Benz's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mercedes pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mercedes Benz
The number of cover stories for Mercedes Benz depends on current market conditions and Mercedes Benz's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mercedes Benz is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mercedes Benz's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mercedes Benz Short Properties
Mercedes Benz's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mercedes Benz's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mercedes Benz Group AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mercedes Benz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mercedes Benz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.9 B |
Other Information on Investing in Mercedes Pink Sheet
Mercedes Benz financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mercedes Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mercedes with respect to the benefits of owning Mercedes Benz security.