Mercedes Benz Group Ag Stock Price Prediction

MBGAF Stock  USD 55.50  0.03  0.05%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Mercedes Benz's share price is below 30 as of 26th of November 2024. This indicates that the pink sheet is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mercedes Benz Group AG, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

28

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mercedes Benz's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mercedes Benz and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mercedes Benz's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mercedes Benz Group AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Mercedes Benz hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mercedes Benz Group AG from the perspective of Mercedes Benz response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mercedes Benz to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mercedes because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mercedes Benz after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 55.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Mercedes Benz Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.9748.7961.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mercedes Benz. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mercedes Benz's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mercedes Benz's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mercedes Benz Group.

Mercedes Benz After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mercedes Benz at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mercedes Benz or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Mercedes Benz, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mercedes Benz Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mercedes Benz's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mercedes Benz's historical news coverage. Mercedes Benz's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 53.68 and 57.32, respectively. We have considered Mercedes Benz's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
55.50
55.50
After-hype Price
57.32
Upside
Mercedes Benz is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mercedes Benz Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mercedes Benz Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mercedes Benz is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mercedes Benz backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mercedes Benz, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
1.82
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
55.50
55.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Mercedes Benz Hype Timeline

Mercedes Benz Group is now traded for 55.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Mercedes is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mercedes Benz is about 1820.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.53. About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mercedes Benz Group recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.96. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Mercedes Benz Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mercedes Benz Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mercedes Benz's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mercedes Benz's future price movements. Getting to know how Mercedes Benz's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mercedes Benz may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BMWYYBayerische Motoren Werke 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22) 2.86 (3.75) 12.90 
VWAPYVolkswagen AG Pref 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.27) 2.73 (3.08) 8.76 
POAHYPorsche Automobile Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 2.22 (3.61) 10.40 
VLKAFVolkswagen AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.27) 2.51 (4.06) 10.79 
MBGYYMercedes Benz Group AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 1.87 (3.53) 12.33 
NSANYNissan Motor Co(0.10)7 per month 1.44  0.06  3.02 (2.48) 11.05 
VWAGYVolkswagen AG 110 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.27) 2.70 (3.52) 8.96 
POAHFPorsche Automobil Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 4.14 (4.16) 11.65 
RACEFerrari NV 0.96 7 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.19 (2.13) 10.98 
STLAStellantis NV 0.14 7 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.56 (4.04) 15.52 

Mercedes Benz Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mercedes price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mercedes using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mercedes charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mercedes Benz Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mercedes Benz stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mercedes Benz Group AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mercedes Benz based on analysis of Mercedes Benz hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mercedes Benz's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mercedes Benz's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Mercedes Benz

The number of cover stories for Mercedes Benz depends on current market conditions and Mercedes Benz's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mercedes Benz is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mercedes Benz's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Mercedes Benz Short Properties

Mercedes Benz's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mercedes Benz's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mercedes Benz Group AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mercedes Benz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mercedes Benz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments29.9 B

Complementary Tools for Mercedes Pink Sheet analysis

When running Mercedes Benz's price analysis, check to measure Mercedes Benz's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mercedes Benz is operating at the current time. Most of Mercedes Benz's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mercedes Benz's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mercedes Benz's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mercedes Benz to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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