MBank SA Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average
| MBK Stock | 1,148 -24.50 -2.09% |
MBank SA's 20 Period Moving Average forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects MBank SA at 1,191 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. The 20 Period Moving Average output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts MBank SA at 1,191 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 77.40 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.07 , and sum of absolute errors of 3,173 .This indicates moderate forecast accuracy — the model captures the general trend but not all short-term variation in MBank SA's price. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest MBank SA | MBank SA Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for MBank SA defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The current forecast range spans downside near 1,188 and upside near 1,194. The narrow range indicates limited short-term dispersion.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for MBank SA stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 90.4165 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -43.032 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 77.4005 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0662 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3173.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for MBank SA
Volume-weighted price analysis for MBank SA Stock gives heavier weight to price levels where trading activity was highest. Crossovers in the MACD line and signal line identify shifts in MBank SA momentum before they appear in raw price.MBank SA Related Equities
Sizing up MBank SA against these stocks within the Banks-Regional space shows how it compares on key financial measures. Profit comparisons show whether MBank SA earns above or below average returns next to its peers. When MBank SA breaks from its peer group on a key metric, it often signals a firm-level change worth exploring.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MBank SA Market Strength Events
For investors tracking mBank SA, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in MBank SA.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0472 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.43 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1169.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1162.67 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 56.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -33.50 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -24.50 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.71 |
MBank SA Risk Indicators
Analyzing MBank SA's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for mbank sa stock. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for MBank SA.
| Mean Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Variance | 6.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.14 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
MBank SA Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to mBank SA matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.45 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.87 billion |
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