Mobileye Global Stock Forward View
| MBLY Stock | USD 9.01 0.00 0.00% |
Mobileye Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Mobileye Global's share price is approaching 35. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mobileye Global, making its price go up or down. Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.997 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0746 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2547 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3822 | Wall Street Target Price 15.7896 |
Using Mobileye Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mobileye Global Class from the perspective of Mobileye Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Mobileye Global using Mobileye Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Mobileye using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Mobileye Global's stock price.
Mobileye Global Short Interest
An investor who is long Mobileye Global may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Mobileye Global and may potentially protect profits, hedge Mobileye Global with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 13.9319 | Short Percent 0.1512 | Short Ratio 2.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 22.5 M | 50 Day MA 11.0716 |
Mobileye Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mobileye Global Class on the next trading day is expected to be 7.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.95.Mobileye Global Class Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Mobileye Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Mobileye. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Mobileye can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Mobileye Global Class. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Mobileye Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Mobileye Global.
Mobileye Global Implied Volatility | 0.92 |
Mobileye Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mobileye Global Class stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mobileye Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mobileye Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mobileye Global's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mobileye Global Class on the next trading day is expected to be 7.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.95.
Mobileye Global after-hype prediction price | USD 10.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mobileye Global to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Mobileye contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Mobileye Global Class will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0575% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Mobileye Global trading at USD 9.01, that is roughly USD 0.005181 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Mobileye Global's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Mobileye Global Class options at the current volatility level of 0.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Mobileye Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Mobileye Global's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Mobileye Global's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Mobileye Global stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Mobileye Global's open interest, investors have to compare it to Mobileye Global's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Mobileye Global is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Mobileye. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Mobileye Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mobileye price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mobileye using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mobileye charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Mobileye Global's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.8 B | Current Value 1.1 B | Quarterly Volatility 598.5 M |
Mobileye Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mobileye Global Class on the next trading day is expected to be 7.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mobileye Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mobileye Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mobileye Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Mobileye Global | Mobileye Global Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Mobileye Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mobileye Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mobileye Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.82 and 11.09, respectively. We have considered Mobileye Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mobileye Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mobileye Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.6208 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3926 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0353 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.9497 |
Predictive Modules for Mobileye Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mobileye Global Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mobileye Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mobileye Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mobileye Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mobileye Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mobileye Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mobileye Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mobileye Global's historical news coverage. Mobileye Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.90 and 13.16, respectively. We have considered Mobileye Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mobileye Global is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mobileye Global Class is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mobileye Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mobileye Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mobileye Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mobileye Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 3.13 | 0.15 | 0.21 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.01 | 10.03 | 5.47 |
|
Mobileye Global Hype Timeline
Mobileye Global Class is now traded for 9.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. Mobileye is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 5.47%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Mobileye Global is about 700.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.22. Mobileye Global Class currently holds about 774 M in cash with 602 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.01. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mobileye Global to cross-verify your projections.Mobileye Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mobileye Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mobileye Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Mobileye Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mobileye Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QS | QuantumScape Class | (0.22) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.14 | (7.74) | 28.88 | |
| ALV | Autoliv | 1.87 | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.07 | 2.85 | (2.47) | 6.91 | |
| HAS | Hasbro Inc | 0.49 | 9 per month | 0.83 | 0.16 | 2.88 | (1.67) | 6.05 | |
| BWA | BorgWarner | (0.42) | 10 per month | 1.55 | 0.07 | 3.51 | (2.90) | 8.11 | |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | (0.28) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.62 | (2.10) | 6.07 | |
| TXRH | Texas Roadhouse | 3.94 | 9 per month | 1.51 | 0.02 | 2.78 | (2.47) | 8.07 | |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | 0.12 | 10 per month | 1.71 | 0.03 | 3.36 | (2.55) | 9.62 | |
| MGA | Magna International | (0.14) | 9 per month | 1.18 | 0.1 | 3.67 | (2.32) | 9.62 | |
| MOD | Modine Manufacturing | (1.99) | 10 per month | 4.60 | 0.04 | 6.02 | (7.46) | 23.70 | |
| CCK | Crown Holdings | 1.10 | 9 per month | 1.55 | 0.02 | 2.35 | (2.36) | 6.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for Mobileye Global
For every potential investor in Mobileye, whether a beginner or expert, Mobileye Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mobileye Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mobileye. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mobileye Global's price trends.Mobileye Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mobileye Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mobileye Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mobileye Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mobileye Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mobileye Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mobileye Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mobileye Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mobileye Global Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.11 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.57 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.38 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.12 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.56) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 35.57 |
Mobileye Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mobileye Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mobileye Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mobileye stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Variance | 9.38 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mobileye Global
The number of cover stories for Mobileye Global depends on current market conditions and Mobileye Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mobileye Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mobileye Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Mobileye Global Short Properties
Mobileye Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mobileye Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mobileye Global Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mobileye Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mobileye Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 813 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 B |
Additional Tools for Mobileye Stock Analysis
When running Mobileye Global's price analysis, check to measure Mobileye Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mobileye Global is operating at the current time. Most of Mobileye Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mobileye Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mobileye Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mobileye Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.