Mobileye Global Class Stock Performance

MBLY Stock  USD 9.23  -0.01  -0.11%   
Mobileye Global has performed against its sector and the broad market over time. Over the last 3 months, the expected return is -0.0238%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
0 · Weak
During the last 90 trading days, Mobileye Global Class produced returns below breakeven, signaling weak efficiency for investors with long positions. This reading is typically reviewed alongside volatility, downside risk, and benchmark-relative behavior. Mobileye Global is delivering weak return efficiency relative to its risk profile, with recent data suggesting continued pressure on shareholder returns. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
0.54
 Five Day Return
5
 Year To Date Return
-11.49
 Ten Year Return
-68.10
 All Time Return
-68.10

Performance Related Modules

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 963.00 in Mobileye Global Class on February 11, 2026 and sold it today, you would have lost $ 40.00 , a decline of 4.15% over 90 days. Mobileye Global Class does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 2.99% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Mobileye Global exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 74% of comparable stocks, and MBLY has trailed 99% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is informative when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Given a 90-day horizon, MBLY has been underperforming the market. Compounding this underperformance, MBLY is 3.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It converts risk into return at a rate of about -0.01%. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.01% per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Changes in sentiment, liquidity, and macro conditions can cause Mobileye Global Stock to trade above or below historical valuation norms for extended periods. In some cases, prices remain disconnected from underlying fundamentals until broader market conditions shift. Market pricing may also incorporate forward-looking expectations that differ from historical trading behavior. Forecasting models that incorporate valuation, volatility, and momentum together may provide a more realistic assessment of future price behavior.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
9.23 90 days 9.23
about 9.33 %
Our distribution model estimates the likelihood of Mobileye Global moving above the current price in 90 days from now at about 9.33 %. Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (This Mobileye Global Class distribution emphasizes the price range most consistent with recent behavior in Mobileye Global Stock over a 90-day period).
Given a 90-day horizon, the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 . This indicates when the benchmark rises, MBLY tends to outperform it on average. However, when benchmark returns turn negative, Mobileye Global tends to underperform. Additionally, Mobileye Global Class has an alpha of 0.1525, implying that it can generate a 0.1525 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Mobileye Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mobileye Global

Investors apply quantitative and fundamental models to forecast Mobileye Global Class within the stock market. Combining results from different methods frames the confidence level warranted by Mobileye Global Class predictions. Evaluating multiple forecasts helps separate persistent signals from short-term noise in Mobileye Global Class price data. For Mobileye Global Class, the combination of techniques matters more than the precision of any individual forecast.
Statistical evidence for mean reversion in Mobileye Global's appears through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Under mean reversion theory, Mobileye Global's price extremes are viewed as temporary dislocations that may self-correct. Mean reversion in Mobileye Global's is often observed around historical valuation multiples. Historical data for Mobileye Global shows that extreme valuations have tended to normalize over multi-year periods.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
6.259.2412.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
8.3113.9316.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.868.8511.84
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.2213.4314.90
Details
Mobileye Global is positioned within its peer group by benchmarking margins, returns, and multiples. This peer-relative view identifies where Mobileye Global leads, trails, or tracks its competitive set. Benchmarking earnings quality and balance sheet strength against peers provides additional valuation context. Mobileye Global's relative positioning within the peer group reflects its competitive dynamics as currently priced by the market.

Primary Risk Indicators

Significant market corrections and rallies over the last two decades have made the stock market challenging for Mobileye Global investors. Dramatic market moves have periodically reshaped the risk landscape for holders of Mobileye Global Class. Watching for changes in Mobileye Global's volatility and market elasticity is one way to limit portfolio losses. A data-driven view of Mobileye Global risk supports more disciplined portfolio management decisions.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Investor Alerts and Insights

Tracking Mobileye Global through automated alerts focuses attention on the most impactful stock developments. Reviewing Mobileye Global Class notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns and fundamental changes. Systematic monitoring of Mobileye Global through automated alerts reduces the risk of missing critical developments. Automated alert systems provide consistency that manual monitoring of Mobileye Global cannot match.
Mobileye Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MBLY has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating negative working capital and limited capacity to cover financial obligations when due.
MBLY reported previous year's revenue of $1.89 billion. Net Loss for the year was -$392 million with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of $972 million.
Mobileye Global has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 32.0% of MBLY outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Mobileye Global Valuation Check After Earnings Beat Outlook Upgrade And Mahindra Design Win

Price Density Drivers

Several forces contribute to Mobileye Global's price dynamics, including buyer and seller positioning dynamics and market conditions. Monitoring Mobileye Global's price density drivers provides context for distinguishing fundamental from tactical price moves. Key market indicators for Mobileye Global reflect the combined effect of buyer and seller positioning dynamics and broader conditions. These indicators are informative when reviewed consistently alongside Mobileye Global's fundamental data.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding813 million
Cash And Short Term Investments1.84 billion

Mobileye Global Fundamentals Growth

Market participants price Mobileye Global Stock based on their assessment of Mobileye Global's financial trajectory. Revenue and earnings growth, profitability metrics, and debt levels form the core fundamentals driving Mobileye Global Stock. Revenue growth, earnings performance, and balance sheet health are critical fundamentals shaping Mobileye Global Stock. Long-term performance of Mobileye Global Stock depends on Mobileye Global's ability to maintain strong fundamental execution.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Benchmark comparison for Mobileye Global clarifies whether returns reflect stock-specific outcomes or market-wide trends. Benchmark-relative positioning reveals whether results stem from exposure choice or market direction. Mobileye Global shows ROE of -40.65%, ROA of -2.54% (TTM) vs -0.18% (last reported).

Mobileye Global Class data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Where analyst coverage exists, consensus estimates are factored in. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Gabriel Shpitalnik, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board