MAENDELEO BANK Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| MBP Stock | 340.00 0.00 0.00% |
MAENDELEO |
MAENDELEO BANK Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of MAENDELEO BANK PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 344.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.68, mean absolute percentage error of 50.67, and the sum of the absolute errors of 346.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MAENDELEO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MAENDELEO BANK's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MAENDELEO BANK Stock Forecast Pattern
MAENDELEO BANK Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MAENDELEO BANK's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MAENDELEO BANK's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 343.66 and 345.93, respectively. We have considered MAENDELEO BANK's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MAENDELEO BANK stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MAENDELEO BANK stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.0359 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.6829 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 346.6552 |
Predictive Modules for MAENDELEO BANK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MAENDELEO BANK PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MAENDELEO BANK's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for MAENDELEO BANK
For every potential investor in MAENDELEO, whether a beginner or expert, MAENDELEO BANK's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MAENDELEO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MAENDELEO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MAENDELEO BANK's price trends.MAENDELEO BANK Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MAENDELEO BANK stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MAENDELEO BANK could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MAENDELEO BANK by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MAENDELEO BANK PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MAENDELEO BANK's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MAENDELEO BANK's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MAENDELEO BANK Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MAENDELEO BANK stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MAENDELEO BANK shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MAENDELEO BANK stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MAENDELEO BANK PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
MAENDELEO BANK Risk Indicators
The analysis of MAENDELEO BANK's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MAENDELEO BANK's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting maendeleo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3425 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Variance | 1.29 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.