Malibu Boats Stock Forward View

Malibu Boats Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Malibu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Malibu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Malibu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Malibu Boats is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Malibu Boats value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Malibu Boats Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Malibu Boats on the next trading day is expected to be 29.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86, mean absolute percentage error of 1.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.46.

Malibu Boats Stock Forecast Pattern

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Malibu Boats Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Malibu Boats Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Malibu Boats stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Malibu Boats stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Malibu Boats. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Malibu Boats. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Malibu Boats

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Malibu Boats. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 28.76 31.49 34.22 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 29.99 32.72 35.45 Details

Malibu Boats After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Malibu Boats Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Malibu Boats Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Malibu Boats Hype Timeline

Malibu Boats is now traded for 31.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Malibu is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 31.49 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Malibu Boats is about 24818.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.42. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 807.56 M. Net Income was 15.24 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 131.52 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 21 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Malibu Boats to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Malibu Stock please use our How to Invest in Malibu Boats guide.

Malibu Boats Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Malibu Boats

For every potential investor in Malibu, whether a beginner or expert, Malibu Boats' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Malibu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Malibu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Malibu Boats' price trends.

Malibu Boats Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Malibu Boats Market Strength Events

Malibu Boats Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Malibu Boats

Malibu Boats Short Properties

Additional Tools for Malibu Stock Analysis