Metropolitan Bank Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MCB Stock | USD 94.11 0.90 0.97% |
Metropolitan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Metropolitan Bank stock prices and determine the direction of Metropolitan Bank Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Metropolitan Bank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Metropolitan Bank's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.47 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.1933 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.4633 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.77 | Wall Street Target Price 100.3333 |
Using Metropolitan Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Metropolitan Bank Holding from the perspective of Metropolitan Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Metropolitan Bank using Metropolitan Bank's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Metropolitan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Metropolitan Bank's stock price.
Metropolitan Bank Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Metropolitan Bank's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Metropolitan. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Metropolitan Bank stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 74.6621 | Short Percent 0.05 | Short Ratio 2.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 564.7 K | 50 Day MA 84.214 |
Metropolitan Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Metropolitan Bank Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 94.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.02.Metropolitan Bank Holding Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Metropolitan Bank's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Metropolitan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Metropolitan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Metropolitan Bank Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Metropolitan Bank's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Metropolitan Bank.
Metropolitan Bank Implied Volatility | 0.66 |
Metropolitan Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Metropolitan Bank Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Metropolitan Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Metropolitan Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when Metropolitan Bank's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Metropolitan Bank Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 94.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.02. Metropolitan Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 92.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Metropolitan | Build AI portfolio with Metropolitan Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Metropolitan contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Metropolitan Bank Holding will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0413% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Metropolitan Bank trading at USD 94.11, that is roughly USD 0.0388 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Metropolitan Bank's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Metropolitan Bank Holding options at the current volatility level of 0.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Metropolitan Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Metropolitan Bank's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Metropolitan Bank's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Metropolitan Bank stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Metropolitan Bank's open interest, investors have to compare it to Metropolitan Bank's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Metropolitan Bank is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Metropolitan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Metropolitan Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Metropolitan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Metropolitan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Metropolitan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Metropolitan Bank Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Metropolitan Bank Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 94.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.23, mean absolute percentage error of 4.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 74.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Metropolitan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Metropolitan Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Metropolitan Bank Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Metropolitan Bank | Metropolitan Bank Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Metropolitan Bank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Metropolitan Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Metropolitan Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 91.61 and 96.61, respectively. We have considered Metropolitan Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Metropolitan Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Metropolitan Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7211 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4103 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2337 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0146 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 74.02 |
Predictive Modules for Metropolitan Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Metropolitan Bank Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Metropolitan Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Metropolitan Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Metropolitan Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Metropolitan Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Metropolitan Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Metropolitan Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Metropolitan Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Metropolitan Bank's historical news coverage. Metropolitan Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 90.14 and 95.14, respectively. We have considered Metropolitan Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Metropolitan Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Metropolitan Bank Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Metropolitan Bank Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Metropolitan Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Metropolitan Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Metropolitan Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 2.50 | 0.57 | 0.05 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
94.11 | 92.64 | 0.61 |
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Metropolitan Bank Hype Timeline
On the 17th of February 2026 Metropolitan Bank Holding is traded for 94.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.57, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Metropolitan is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 92.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.61%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on Metropolitan Bank is about 2475.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 94.16. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.27. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Metropolitan Bank Holding recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.62. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Metropolitan Bank to cross-verify your projections.Metropolitan Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Metropolitan Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Metropolitan Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Metropolitan Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Metropolitan Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HTB | HomeTrust Bancshares | (0.57) | 7 per month | 1.23 | 0.05 | 2.66 | (2.38) | 9.13 | |
| NBBK | NB Bancorp Common | (0.23) | 4 per month | 0.97 | 0.16 | 2.69 | (1.82) | 6.24 | |
| AMTB | Amerant Bancorp | (1.45) | 10 per month | 1.30 | 0.18 | 4.04 | (2.32) | 10.31 | |
| CCBG | Capital City Bank | (0.95) | 9 per month | 1.81 | 0.02 | 3.11 | (3.38) | 9.74 | |
| TRST | TrustCo Bank Corp | 0.16 | 8 per month | 1.44 | 0.10 | 2.88 | (1.69) | 12.39 | |
| NBN | Northeast Bancorp | 3.60 | 8 per month | 1.52 | 0.21 | 4.10 | (3.69) | 13.72 | |
| HBNC | Horizon Bancorp | 0.20 | 9 per month | 1.39 | 0.08 | 2.98 | (1.77) | 11.15 | |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares | (0.15) | 7 per month | 0.99 | 0.12 | 2.74 | (1.54) | 8.82 | |
| MBWM | Mercantile Bank | 0.39 | 9 per month | 1.00 | 0.13 | 3.78 | (1.75) | 9.88 | |
| CCNE | CNB Financial | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.95 | 0.14 | 3.41 | (1.55) | 8.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for Metropolitan Bank
For every potential investor in Metropolitan, whether a beginner or expert, Metropolitan Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Metropolitan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Metropolitan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Metropolitan Bank's price trends.Metropolitan Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Metropolitan Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Metropolitan Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Metropolitan Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Metropolitan Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Metropolitan Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Metropolitan Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Metropolitan Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Metropolitan Bank Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Metropolitan Bank Risk Indicators
The analysis of Metropolitan Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Metropolitan Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting metropolitan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.42 | |||
| Variance | 5.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.97) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Metropolitan Bank
The number of cover stories for Metropolitan Bank depends on current market conditions and Metropolitan Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Metropolitan Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Metropolitan Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Metropolitan Bank Short Properties
Metropolitan Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Metropolitan Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Metropolitan Bank Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Metropolitan Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metropolitan Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 591 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Metropolitan Bank to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Metropolitan Bank. Expected growth trajectory for Metropolitan significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Metropolitan Bank assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.47 | Dividend Share 0.3 | Earnings Share 6.62 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.231 |
Understanding Metropolitan Bank Holding requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Metropolitan's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Metropolitan Bank's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Metropolitan Bank's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Metropolitan Bank's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Metropolitan Bank represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Metropolitan Bank's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.