MCF Energy OTC Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

MCFNF Stock   0.02  0  16.33%   
MCF OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of MCF Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of February 2026 the value of rsi of MCF Energy's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
MCF Energy stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of MCF Energy shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of MCF Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MCF Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MCF Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MCF Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate signals. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of MCF Energy based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using MCF Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MCF Energy from the perspective of MCF Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MCF Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.10.

MCF Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MCF Energy to cross-verify your projections.

MCF Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MCF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MCF using various technical indicators. When you analyze MCF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
MCF Energy simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for MCF Energy are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as MCF Energy prices get older.

MCF Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of MCF Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000498, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MCF OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MCF Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MCF Energy OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MCF Energy  MCF Energy Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

MCF Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MCF Energy's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MCF Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 8.35, respectively. We have considered MCF Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.02
0.0002
Downside
0.03
Expected Value
8.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MCF Energy otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MCF Energy otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.0634
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0017
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0596
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1007
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting MCF Energy forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent MCF Energy observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for MCF Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MCF Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.028.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.028.35
Details

MCF Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of MCF Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MCF Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of MCF Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

MCF Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting MCF Energy's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MCF Energy's historical news coverage. MCF Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.35, respectively. We have considered MCF Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.02
0.02
After-hype Price
8.35
Upside
MCF Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MCF Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

MCF Energy OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as MCF Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MCF Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MCF Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
8.33
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.02
0.02
18.70 
0.00  
Notes

MCF Energy Hype Timeline

MCF Energy is now traded for 0.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MCF is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -18.7%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. The volatility of related hype on MCF Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MCF Energy to cross-verify your projections.

MCF Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to MCF Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MCF Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how MCF Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MCF Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for MCF Energy

For every potential investor in MCF, whether a beginner or expert, MCF Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MCF OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MCF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MCF Energy's price trends.

MCF Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MCF Energy otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MCF Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MCF Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MCF Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MCF Energy otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MCF Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MCF Energy otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MCF Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MCF Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of MCF Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MCF Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mcf otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for MCF Energy

The number of cover stories for MCF Energy depends on current market conditions and MCF Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MCF Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MCF Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

MCF Energy Short Properties

MCF Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when MCF Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MCF Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MCF Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MCF Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding112.5 M
Short Long Term Debt126.9 K
Shares Float84.8 M

Other Information on Investing in MCF OTC Stock

MCF Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether MCF OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MCF with respect to the benefits of owning MCF Energy security.