MGM China Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| MCHVY Stock | USD 14.44 0.04 0.28% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MGM China Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 12.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.39. MGM Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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MGM China Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MGM China Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 12.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.60, mean absolute percentage error of 0.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MGM Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MGM China's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MGM China Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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MGM China Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MGM China's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MGM China's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.39 and 16.49, respectively. We have considered MGM China's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MGM China pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MGM China pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.6168 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5966 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.037 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.3938 |
Predictive Modules for MGM China
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MGM China Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MGM China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for MGM China
For every potential investor in MGM, whether a beginner or expert, MGM China's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MGM Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MGM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MGM China's price trends.MGM China Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MGM China pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MGM China could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MGM China by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MGM China Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MGM China's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MGM China's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MGM China Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MGM China pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MGM China shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MGM China pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify MGM China Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.44 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.44 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.02 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 39.65 |
MGM China Risk Indicators
The analysis of MGM China's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MGM China's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mgm pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.55 | |||
| Variance | 12.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 40.3 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.39 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for MGM Pink Sheet Analysis
When running MGM China's price analysis, check to measure MGM China's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MGM China is operating at the current time. Most of MGM China's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MGM China's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MGM China's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MGM China to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.