Microchip Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| MCP Stock | EUR 62.01 0.86 1.37% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Microchip Technology Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 54.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 264.11. Microchip Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Microchip Technology's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Microchip Technology's stock price is roughly 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 8th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Microchip, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Microchip Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Microchip Technology Incorporated from the perspective of Microchip Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Microchip Technology Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 54.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 264.11. Microchip Technology after-hype prediction price | EUR 62.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Microchip |
Microchip Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Microchip price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Microchip using various technical indicators. When you analyze Microchip charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Microchip Technology Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Microchip Technology Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 54.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.33, mean absolute percentage error of 26.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 264.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Microchip Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Microchip Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Microchip Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Microchip Technology | Microchip Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Microchip Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Microchip Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Microchip Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.79 and 58.09, respectively. We have considered Microchip Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Microchip Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Microchip Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.3867 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.3297 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0859 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 264.1125 |
Predictive Modules for Microchip Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Microchip Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Microchip Technology
For every potential investor in Microchip, whether a beginner or expert, Microchip Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Microchip Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Microchip. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Microchip Technology's price trends.Microchip Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Microchip Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Microchip Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Microchip Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Microchip Technology Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Microchip Technology's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Microchip Technology's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Microchip Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Microchip Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Microchip Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Microchip Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Microchip Technology Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Microchip Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Microchip Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Microchip Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting microchip stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.52 | |||
| Variance | 12.42 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Microchip Stock
When determining whether Microchip Technology is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Microchip Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Microchip Technology Incorporated Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Microchip Technology Incorporated Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Microchip Technology to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Microchip Stock please use our How to Invest in Microchip Technology guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.