Monarch Casino Stock Forward View
| MCRI Stock | USD 91.53 1.33 1.47% |
Monarch Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Monarch Casino's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, the relative strength indicator of Monarch Casino's share price is approaching 46. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Monarch Casino, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.15 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.6 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.86 | Wall Street Target Price 108.6667 |
Using Monarch Casino hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Monarch Casino Resort from the perspective of Monarch Casino response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Monarch Casino using Monarch Casino's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Monarch using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Monarch Casino's stock price.
Monarch Casino Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Monarch Casino's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Monarch. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Monarch Casino stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 93.307 | Short Percent 0.0232 | Short Ratio 3.51 | Shares Short Prior Month 251.8 K | 50 Day MA 95.1078 |
Monarch Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Monarch Casino Resort on the next trading day is expected to be 94.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.56.Monarch Casino Resort Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Monarch Casino's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Monarch. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Monarch can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Monarch Casino Resort. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Monarch Casino's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Monarch Casino.
Monarch Casino Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
Monarch Casino's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Monarch Casino Resort stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Monarch Casino's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Monarch Casino stock will not fluctuate a lot when Monarch Casino's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Monarch Casino Resort on the next trading day is expected to be 94.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.56. Monarch Casino after-hype prediction price | USD 91.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monarch Casino to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Monarch contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Monarch Casino Resort will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.04% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Monarch Casino trading at USD 91.53, that is roughly USD 0.0366 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Monarch Casino's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Monarch Casino Resort options at the current volatility level of 0.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Monarch Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Monarch Casino's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Monarch Casino's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Monarch Casino stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Monarch Casino's open interest, investors have to compare it to Monarch Casino's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Monarch Casino is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Monarch. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Monarch Casino Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Monarch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monarch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Monarch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Monarch Casino Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Monarch Casino's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1993-09-30 | Previous Quarter 71.6 M | Current Value 107.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 16.9 M |
Monarch Casino Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Monarch Casino Resort on the next trading day is expected to be 94.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 0.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Monarch Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Monarch Casino's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Monarch Casino Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Monarch Casino | Monarch Casino Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Monarch Casino Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Monarch Casino's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Monarch Casino's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 93.65 and 95.62, respectively. We have considered Monarch Casino's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Monarch Casino stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Monarch Casino stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0696 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8124 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0085 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.5582 |
Predictive Modules for Monarch Casino
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Monarch Casino Resort. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Monarch Casino After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Monarch Casino at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Monarch Casino or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Monarch Casino, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Monarch Casino Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Monarch Casino's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Monarch Casino's historical news coverage. Monarch Casino's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 90.46 and 92.44, respectively. We have considered Monarch Casino's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Monarch Casino is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Monarch Casino Resort is based on 3 months time horizon.
Monarch Casino Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Monarch Casino is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Monarch Casino backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Monarch Casino, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.99 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
91.53 | 91.45 | 0.09 |
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Monarch Casino Hype Timeline
Monarch Casino Resort is now traded for 91.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Monarch is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 91.45. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 52.38%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Monarch Casino is about 1523.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 91.53. About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Monarch Casino was now reported as 30.6. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.89. Monarch Casino Resort last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 31st of March 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monarch Casino to cross-verify your projections.Monarch Casino Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Monarch Casino's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Monarch Casino's future price movements. Getting to know how Monarch Casino's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Monarch Casino may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MBC | MasterBrand | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.50 | (3.83) | 15.86 | |
| BLBD | Blue Bird Corp | 0.40 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.18 | (3.48) | 12.97 | |
| PZZA | Papa Johns International | (0.39) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.41 | (4.91) | 11.95 | |
| MCW | Mister Car Wash | (0.03) | 10 per month | 1.96 | 0.05 | 4.13 | (3.56) | 13.47 | |
| AIN | Albany International | 0.16 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.53 | (3.73) | 10.65 | |
| WEN | The Wendys Co | 0.18 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.07 | (4.04) | 11.11 | |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide | 0.16 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.02 | (6.28) | 24.27 | |
| MODG | Topgolf Callaway Brands | 0.05 | 8 per month | 2.56 | 0.21 | 8.81 | (3.96) | 23.39 | |
| TILE | Interface | 0.30 | 11 per month | 1.73 | 0.08 | 2.93 | (2.51) | 8.15 | |
| MLCO | Melco Resorts Entertainment | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.07 | (3.66) | 13.15 |
Other Forecasting Options for Monarch Casino
For every potential investor in Monarch, whether a beginner or expert, Monarch Casino's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Monarch Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Monarch. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Monarch Casino's price trends.Monarch Casino Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Monarch Casino stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Monarch Casino could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Monarch Casino by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Monarch Casino Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Monarch Casino stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Monarch Casino shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Monarch Casino stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Monarch Casino Resort entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Monarch Casino Risk Indicators
The analysis of Monarch Casino's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Monarch Casino's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting monarch stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8296 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Variance | 1.12 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Monarch Casino
The number of cover stories for Monarch Casino depends on current market conditions and Monarch Casino's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Monarch Casino is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Monarch Casino's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Monarch Casino Short Properties
Monarch Casino's future price predictability will typically decrease when Monarch Casino's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Monarch Casino Resort often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Monarch Casino's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monarch Casino's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 58.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Monarch Casino to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is there potential for Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure market expansion? Will Monarch introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Monarch Casino. Expected growth trajectory for Monarch significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Monarch Casino listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.15 | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 4.42 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.036 |
Understanding Monarch Casino Resort requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Monarch's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Monarch Casino's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Monarch Casino's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Monarch Casino's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Monarch Casino represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Monarch Casino's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.